Big South Round One-UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. Liberty Flames - 3/4/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Liberty Flames (8-23) at UNC Asheville Bulldogs (14-15)
College Basketball: Wednesday, March 4, 2015 at 6:00 pm (HTC Center)
The Line: UNC Asheville Bulldogs -9 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Liberty Flames go on the road to battle the North Carolina-Asheville Bulldogs in round one of the Big South playoffs.
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The Liberty Flames have gone 8-23 on the season and a poor 2-16 in the Big South as they are outscored 69-64 which on the surface doesn’t explain their in conference struggles. However on close examination we do see the offense failing to match this scoring while the defense is in the same boat. The Flames schedule was not very tough with a number 309 strength of schedule with a narrow win against North Carolina-Wilmington being their best performance.
The offense has some potential with balance from several different sources with Theo Johnson the only double digit scorer at ten points and 4.7 boards on 43% accuracy. Andrew Smith and David Andoh provide scoring and muscle with over nine points apiece with 7.5 and 5.4 rebounds respectively. Peter Moller and James Johnson combine for 13 points so if a few of these guys can up their scoring the offense can be competitive which of course depends on the defense doing something.
If you have followed the North Carolina-Asheville Bulldogs over the past few seasons then you are aware this isn’t the best team the Bulldogs have put on the floor. UNCA is 15-16 but have been competitive in the Big South with a 10-8 record behind a big offense that has outscored their foes by a 73-70 margin. The Bulldogs have not beaten any of the bigger names and generally did little until the league schedule began.
If you like up and down offense then chances are you will enjoy watching North Carolina-Asheville who possess one of the top players in the conference in Andrew Rowsey who brings 19 points to the table although his less then 39% shooting says he hoists up a fair number of shots. David Robertson is built in the same mold with eleven points on 41% marksmanship while Jaleel Roberts, Sam Hughes and Keven Vannatta lead the remainder of the score by committee attack that are all capable of reaching double figures.
The Flames are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big South. Liberty are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss. The Bulldogs are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. Big South. Gardner-Webb are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Asheville has been great in this match up so I’m backing the trend…