Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Texas State Bobcats - 3/5/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas State Bobcats (13-14) at Appalachian State Mountaineers (10-17)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 5, 2015 at 7:30 pm (Holmes Convocation Center)
The Line: Appalachian State Mountaineers +2 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Texas State Bobcats will travel to the Holmes Convocation Center to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers this Thursday night in College Basketball action.
The Texas State Bobcats improved to 13-14 (7-11 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 70-60, this past Saturday. Texas State shot 48.0% from the field and 35.3% (6-17) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Bobcats was Kavin Gilder-Tilbury who had 19 points, 2 rebounds, and 2 assists. Texas State is ranked 235th in the RPI Standings and has played the 170th ranked SOS. On the season, the Bobcats have been led by Emani Gant (13.0 ppg, 7.0 rpg, 1.6 apg) and Cameron Naylor (8.3 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 0.5 apg). Texas State is averaging 62.1 ppg (ranked 297th) on 40.8% shooting (ranked 288th). The Bobcats average 5.1 three-pointers per game (ranked 282nd) and commit 13.1 turnovers per game (ranked 228th). Texas State is holding their opponents to an average of 59.9 ppg (ranked 25th) on 41.4% shooting (ranked 99th). The Bobcats are holding their opponents to 29.9% shooting from beyond the arc (ranked 17th) and have a turnover margin of 2.8 (ranked 26th).
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The Appalachian State Mountaineers improved to 10-17 (7-11 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the UL Monroe Warhawks, 66-43, this past Saturday. Appalachian State shot 49.0% from the field and 36.4% (8-22) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Mountaineers was Frank Eaves who had 28 points, 1 rebound, and 3 assists. Appalachian State is ranked 271st in the RPI Standings and has played the 284th ranked SOS. On the season, the Mountaineers have been led by Frank Eaves (16.6 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 1.6 apg) and Tommy Spagnolo (9.9 ppg, 7.1 rpg, 1.1 apg). Appalachian State is averaging 63.0 ppg (ranked 277th) on 39.4% shooting (ranked 322nd). The Mountaineers average 6.2 three-pointers per game (ranked 194th) however, commit 13.7 turnovers per game (ranked 270th). Appalachian State is holding their opponents to an average of 70.7 ppg (ranked 284th) on 46.2% shooting (ranked 314th). The Mountaineers are holding their opponents to 32.6% shooting from beyond the arc (ranked 96th) and pull down 35.11 total rpg (ranked 135th).
The Bobcats are 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games overall. The Mountaineers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win however, just 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 home games.
Texas State has really struggled in conference play due to their lack of offensive however, have won their past 2 games as they finally seem to be getting some offensive output to go with their strong defensive. Appalachian State shocked many teams by snapping their 5 game losing streak by defeating a very good UL Monroe team by 23 points. Appalachian State was able to beat Texas State 64-58 earlier in the season as Frank Eaves was able to score a career high, 31 points, against the Bobcats defensive. Although Appalachian State looked dominant this past Saturday, I don't see them putting up back-to-back impressive performances on the defensive end, even though Texas State has struggled all year offensively. I think Texas State will make the defensive adjustments necessary to slow down Frank Eaves, and that they'll create enough turnovers and offensive to get a much needed road win and cover. I'm taking Texas State to cover in this one.