Davidson Wildcats vs. Virginia Commonwealth Rams - 3/5/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Virginia Commonwealth Rams (21-8) at Davidson Wildcats (21-6)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 5, 2015 at 9:00 pm (Belk Arena)
The Line: Davidson Wildcats -3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The VCU Rams will travel to the John M. Belk Arena to take on the Davidson Wildcats this Thursday night in College Basketball action.
The VCU Rams dropped to 21-8 (11-5 A-10) on the season after being defeated by the Dayton Flyers, 59-55, this past Saturday. VCU shot 34.0% from the field and 24.0% (6-25) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Rams was Mo Alie-Cox who had 12 points, 10 rebounds, and 2 blocks. VCU is ranked 18th in the RPI Standings and has played the 6th ranked SOS. On the season, the Rams have been led by Treveon Graham (16.4 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 1.5 apg) and Melvin Johnson (12.4 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 1.9 apg). VCU is averaging 72.9 ppg (ranked 51st) on 42.3% shooting (ranked 234th). The Rams average 8.1 three-pointers per game (ranked 33rd) and have a 1.25 assist/turnover ratio (ranked 47th). VCU is holding their opponents to an average of 65.1 ppg (ranked 138th) on 42.5% shooting (ranked 153rd). The Rams average 9.9 spg (ranked 4th) and have a turnover margin of 6.3 (ranked 3rd).
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The Davidson Wildcats improved to 21-6 (12-4 A-10) on the season after defeating the George Washington Colonials, 77-66, this past Saturday. Davidson shot 41.8% from the field and 50.0% (14-28) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Wildcats was Jack Gibbs who had 22 points, 7 assists, and 3 steals. Davidson is ranked 34th in the RPI Standings and has played the 131st ranked SOS. On the season, the Wildcats have been led by Tyler Kalinoski (16.2 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 4.0 apg) and Jack Gibbs (15.9 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 4.8 apg). Davidson is averaging 79.6 ppg (ranked 7th) on 46.9% shooting (ranked 37th). The Wildcats average 10.6 three-pointers per game (ranked 3rd) and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.74 (ranked 1st). Davidson is holding their opponents to an average of 68.4 ppg (ranked 234th) on 43.7% shooting (ranked 207th). The Wildcats average 25.7 defensive rpg (ranked 45th) and have a turnover margin of 2.1 (ranked 49th).
The Rams are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. loss and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Wildcats are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games vs. the A-10 and 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
VCU has dropped their last two games and has really struggled on the offensive end as they've averaged just 59 points per game in those two losses. Davidson has won their last seven games and sit just a half game back from Dayton for first place in the A-10. Davidson has displayed all season their ability to light up a scoreboard, however, it's their defense that has shown great improvement as during this winning streak, they are holding opponents to an average of 64.8 ppg which is almost 4 points better than their season average. In their first match-up of the season, VCU was able to force Davidson into making 15 turnovers, which is well above their season average of just 9.6 per game. As VCU doesn't have the services of Briante Weber in this match-up, along with the fact that if Davidson wins out, they will be the A-10 Champions, I think Davidson will get the job done and cover this small spread on their home court. Take Davidson to cover.