Valparaiso vs. Wisc-Green Bay - Horizon Championship - 3/10/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Wisc-Green Bay Phoenix (24-7) at Valparaiso Crusaders (26-5)
College Basketball: Tuesday, March 10, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Athletics-Recreation Center)
The Line: Valparaiso Crusaders -2.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Green Bay Phoenix and the Valparaiso Crusaders will face off in the Horizon League Championship Final this Tuesday night at the Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso, Indiana.
The Green Bay Phoenix, the 2nd seed in the Horizon Tournament, advanced to the Horizon Championship with a 70-56 victory over the UIC Flames this past Saturday. Green Bay was able to shoot 49.0% from the field and 38.5% (5-13) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Phoenix was Keifer Sykes who had 30 points, 5 rebounds, and 2 steals. Green Bay is ranked 62nd in the RPI Standings and has played the 200th ranked SOS. On the season, the Phoenix have been led by Keifer Sykes (18.9 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 4.1 apg, 1.7 spg) and Greg Mays (12.3 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 1.5 bpg). Green Bay averages 69.4 ppg (ranked 123rd) on 46.6% shooting (ranked 48th). The Phoenix average 14.2 apg (ranked 65th) and commit just 11.8 turnovers per game (ranked 88th). Defensively, Green Bay is holding their opponents to an average of 60.7 ppg (ranked 42nd) on 40.8% shooting (ranked 80th). The Phoenix average 7.5 spg (ranked 55th) and pull down 35.55 total rpg (ranked 109th).
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The Valparaiso Crusaders, the 1st seed in the Horizon Tournament, advanced with a hard fought 60-55 victory over the Cleveland State Vikings this past Saturday. Valparaiso held Cleveland State to 39.2% shooting from the field and 26.7% (4-15) shooting from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Crusaders was Alec Peters who had 22 points and 8 rebounds. Valparaiso is ranked 61st in the RPI Standings and has played the 295th ranked SOS. On the season, the Crusaders have been led by Alec Peters (17.0 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 1.3 apg) and Darien Walker (11.1 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 1.9 apg). Valparaiso is averaging 70.3 ppg (ranked 96th) on 46.1% shooting (ranked 59th). The Crusaders are shooting 38.1% from beyond the arc (ranked 48th) and commit 12.6 turnovers per game (ranked 182nd). Defensively, Valparaiso is holding their opponents to an average of 59.8 ppg (ranked 24th) on 38.3% shooting (ranked 14th). The Crusaders pull down 37.91 total rpg (ranked 30th) and have a rebound margin of 7.6 (ranked 11th).
The Phoenix are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Crusaders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Green Bay and Valparaiso split their regular season series as Green Bay won 51-50 at home, however, lost 63-59 at Valparaiso. Green Bay was the conference favorite entering the season and have the best player in the conference in Keifer Sykes. Valparaiso has an experienced squad who have been great on both ends of the court all season. Although both teams have great playmakers on the offensive end, both Green Bay and Valparaiso rely heavily on their outstanding defenses. Green Bay has been the favorite in the last two season to get the NCAA tournament bid, and after being upset last year by Milwaukee, I feel that Keifer Sykes will have a big game and will Green Bay into the NCAA a tournament. I expect another low scoring close game, but Green Bay will pull punch their ticket in the end. Take Green Bay and the points.