Kansas State vs. TCU- Big 12 Tournment - 3/11/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
TCU Horned Frogs (17-14) at Kansas State Wildcats (15-16)
College Basketball: Wednesday, March 11, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Sprint Center)
The Line: Kansas State Wildcats -1 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The TCU Horned Frogs and Kansas State Wildcats will face off at the Sprint Center in the 1st round of the Phillips 66 Big 12 Championship this Wednesday night.
The TCU Horned Frogs finished the season with a 17-14 record while earning the 9th seed in the Big 12 tournament with a 4-14 conference record. Although the Horned Frogs finished with only 4 conference wins, they were a tough to beat as they can really get at you on the defensive end. TCU is ranked 129th in the RPI Standings and has played the 113th ranked SOS. TCU’s wasn’t able to knock of one of the giants of the Big 12, however, they did have a couple of quality wins which include a 66-54 victory at Ole Miss and a 70-55 victory at home against Oklahoma State.
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TCU averaged 68.5 ppg (ranked 150th) on 43.7% shooting (ranked 162nd). The Horned Frogs averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (ranked 99th) and 13.3 apg (ranked 116th). TCU shot just 61.5% from the free-throw line (ranked 341st) and made 4.7 three-pointers per game (ranked 315th). Defensively, TCU held their opponents to 62.2 ppg (ranked 67th) on 39.8% shooting (ranked 47th). The Horned Frogs averaged 5.4 bpg (ranked 15th) and pulled down 37.19 total rpg (ranked 47th). TCU had a rebound margin of 3.3 (ranked 77th) and a turnover margin of 1.1 (ranked 103rd). Leading the way for the Horned Frogs on the season was Kyan Anderson (13.6 ppg, 1.5 rpg, 4.3 apg, 1.3 spg) and Trey Zeigler (9.6 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 2.1 apg).
The Kansas State Wildcats earned the 8th seed in the Big 12 Tournament with a 8-10 conference record and finished the season just below .500 with a 15-16 overall record. It was an up and down season for Kansas State as although they were able to pick up numerous big wins in conference play, they also suffered a few tough losses in their non-conference schedule which has them probably having to win the Big 12 Tournament to get to the NCAA Tournament. The Wildcats biggest wins of the season came against Oklahoma (twice), Baylor, Iowa State, and Kansas.
Kansas State averaged 62.9 ppg (ranked 280th) on 43.5% shooting (ranked 183rd). The Wildcats averaged 13.1 apg (ranked 138th) and committed 13.3 turnovers per game (ranked 241st). TCU averaged just 4.5 three-pointers per game (ranked 322nd) on 33.7% three-point shooting (ranked 200th). Defensively, Kansas State held their opponents to an average of 63.7 ppg (ranked 101st) on 44.3% shooting (ranked 245th). The Wildcats averaged 6.1 spg (ranked 192nd) and had a rebound margin of 1.2 (ranked 144th). Leading the way for Kansas on the season has been Marcus Foster (12.9 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 1.9 apg) and Nino Williams (11.3 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 1.1 apg).
The Horned Frogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. The Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Wednesday games.
TCU and Kansas State split their regular season series as TCU lost at Kansas State 58-53 and won at home 69-55. TCU ended the season on a three-game losing streak and their defensive has slipped a bit as in that span they allowed their opponents to average 79.3 ppg. Kansas State was able to knock off both Kansas and Iowa State at home recently however, dropped a 62-49 battle at Texas to end their regular season. Although TCU is a very a good squad, Kansas State has shown that they have the talent to beat the best teams in the Big 12 if they are firing on all cylinders. As of right now Nino Williams (personal) is probable for this game while Jevon Thomas is questionable (Disciplinary), however as long as Nino Williams is going, I’m going to back Kansas State in this one to cover.