Connecticut vs. South Florida - 3/12/15 AAC Tournament Pick, Odds, and Prediction
South Florida Bulls (9-22) at Connecticut Huskies (17-13)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 12, 2015 at 8:30 pm (XL Center)
The Line: Connecticut Huskies -13 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The South Florida Bulls and Connecticut Huskies meet Thursday in the AAC Tournament.
The South Florida Bulls look for a win after losing four of their last six games. On the season, USF is averaging 62.2 points on 43.7 percent shooting and is allowing 68.4 points on 42 percent shooting. Nehemias Morillo is averaging 10 points and 4.3 rebounds while Troy Holston Jr. is averaging 7.8 points and 2.6 rebounds. Anthony Collins is dishing 5.3 assists and Bo Zeigler is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The South Florida Bulls have four players averaging at least 6.6 points, and they’re shooting 61.5 percent from the line and 30.6 percent from deep. Defensively, USF is allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and has given up 67 or less points in five of its last 10 games.
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The Connecticut Huskies need a win after splitting their last eight games. On the season, UConn is averaging 65.2 points on 44.3 percent shooting and is allowing 61.1 points on 39.7 percent shooting. Ryan Boatright is averaging 17.8 points and four assists while Daniel Hamilton is averaging 10.8 points and 7.6 rebounds. Rodney Purvis is dishing 1.1 assists and Amida Brimah is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Connecticut Huskies have four double-digit scorers, and they’re shooting 70.4 percent from the line and 34.8 percent from deep. Defensively, UConn is allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and has given up 60 or less points in six of its last 10 games.
I think UConn is going to win this tournament, but this is far too many points to lay. UConn has played down to its comp all year and hasn't done well covering big chalk. Take the points if you really feel the need to cap this game.