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UL Lafayette vs. Texas State - Sun Belt Tournament - 3/13/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas State Bobcats (14-16) at UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (19-12)

College Basketball: Friday, March 13, 2015 at 6:00 pm (Lakefront Arena)

The Line: UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns -5.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Texas State Bobcats and the UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns will face off in the quarterfinals of the Sun Belt Conference Championship this Friday evening at Lakefront Arena.

The Texas State Bobcats was able to upset the TX-Arlington Mavericks 68-62 to stay alive in the Sun Belt Conference Championship. The Bobcats earned the 8-seed for the Sun Belt Tournament with a 7-13 conference record. Texas State shot 44.6% from the field and held UT-Arlington to just 23.1% (6-26) shooting from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Bobcats was Emani Gant who had 19 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists. Texas State is ranked 241st in the RPI Standings and has played the 169th ranked SOS. On the season, the Bobcats have been led by Emani Gant (12.6 ppg, 7.0 rpg, 1.6 apg) and Cameron Naylor (8.1 ppg, 5.0 rpg). Texas State averages 61.9 ppg (ranked 302nd) on 40.6% shooting (ranked 295th). The Bobcats average 5.2 three-pointers per game (ranked 283rd) and commit 13.0 turnovers per game (ranked 211th). Defensively, Texas State is holding their opponents to 60.0 ppg (ranked 28th) on 41.6% shooting (ranked 107th). The Bobcats average 7.1 turnovers per game and have a 2.7 turnover margin (ranked 29th).

UL Lafayette vs. Texas State - Sun Belt Tournament - 3/13/15  Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns finished the regular season with a 19-12 overall record while gaining the 4-seed in the Sun Belt Conference Championship with a 13-7 conference record. The Ragin’ Cajuns like to push the tempo and have had great success in scoring points all season. UL Lafayette is ranked 149th in the RPI Standings and has played the 194th ranked SOS. The Ragin’ Cajuns biggest wins of the season have come against Georgia State and Georgia Southern, the top two teams in the conference.

UL Lafayette is averaging 78.1 ppg (ranked 17th) on 46.0% shooting (ranked 64th). The Ragin’ Cajuns average 6.8 three-pointers per game (ranked 126th) on 36.0% three-point shooting (ranked 97th). UL Lafayette averages 14.5 apg (ranked 19th). Defensively, UL Lafayette is allowing their opponents to average 69.9 ppg (ranked 266th) on 42.5% shooting (ranked 159th). The Ragin Cajuns pull down 40.0 total rpg (ranked 4th) and have a rebound margin of 6.6 (ranked 19th). UL Lafayette averages 6.8 spg (ranked 103rd). On the season, the Ragin’ Cajuns have been led by Shawn Long (17.0 ppg, 10.3 rpg, 1.3 apg) and Brian Williams (10.1 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 1.0 apg).

The Bobcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

The UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns were able to defeat Texas State in both their matchups this season (72-63 @ Texas State, 64-42 @ home). The Ragin’ Cajuns have been on a roll as of late as they’ve won their last 6 games. Texas State has one of the better defensives in the Sun Belt, however, they’ve had major offensive issue all season and at one point lost 9 of 10 conference games. Texas State looked a little better on the offensive end in their recent game and although they’ll likely hold UL Lafayette under their season average on offensive, I can’t trust their offensive to keep this one within the number. I’m taking UL Lafayette to cover. 

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