Villanova vs. Providence - Big East Chamionship - 3/13/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Providence Friars (22-10) at Villanova Wildcats (30-2)
College Basketball: Friday, March 13, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Madison Square Garden)
The Line: Villanova Wildcats -9 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Fox Sports 1
The Providence Friars and Villanova Wildcats will face off at Madison Square Garden in the quarterfinals of the Big East Championship this Friday night.
The Providence Friars when on a 16-0 run early in the first half and never looked back against the St. John’s as they defeated the Red Storm 74-57 on Thursday afternoon. Providence is playing as the 4-seed in the Big East Championship as they finished the season with a 11-7 conference record. Providence was able to hold St. John’s to just 28.6% (6-21) from beyond the arc and won the rebounding battle by a 49-36 margin. Leading the way for the Friars was LaDontae Henton who had 20 points, 12 rebounds and 2 steals in the victory. Providence is ranked 23rd in the RPI Standings and has played the 8th ranked SOS. Leading the way for the Friars on the season have been LaDontae Henton (20.1 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 1.4 spg) and Kris Dunn (15.5 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 7.4 apg, 2.8 spg). Providence is averaging 70.4 ppg (ranked 94th) on 44.6% shooting (ranked 104th). The Friars average 14.1 apg (ranked 70th) and commit 11.8 turnovers per game (ranked 89th). Providence is allowing their opponents to average 65.8 ppg (ranked 150th) on 42.5% shooting (ranked 152nd). The Friars average 7.2 spg (ranked 65th) and have a turnover margin of 1.4 (ranked 87th).
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The 4th ranked Villanova Wildcats (30-2) was able to cruise to a 84-49 victory against the Marquette Golden Eagles to avoid being upset for the 2nd straight year in their opening game of the Big East Tournament. The Wildcats earned the 1 seed in the Big East Tournament as they finished the year with a 16-2 conference record. Villanova was able to shoot 52.6% from the field and 58.6% (17-29) from beyond the arc while forcing Marquette to commit 22 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Wildcats was Josh Hart who had 20 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists from off the bench. Villanova is ranked 4th in the RPI Standings and has played the 47th ranked SOS. On the season, the Wildcats have been led by Darrun Hilliard II (14.2 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 2.0 apg) and Ryan Arcidiacono (10.7 ppg, 1.8 rpg, 3.6 apg). Villanova is averaging 76.7 ppg (ranked 19th) on 46.8% shooting (ranked 41st). The Wildcats average 8.8 three-pointers per game (ranked 16th) and have a 1.47 assist/turnover ratio (ranked 7th). Defensively, Villanova is holding their opponents to an average of 61.5 ppg (ranked 53rd) on 40.8% shooting (ranked 81st). The Wildcats average 7.7 spg (ranked 33rd) and have a turnover margin of 3.4 (ranked 14th).
The Friars are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
Villanova was able to beat Providence in both matchups this season (74-68 @ Providence; 89-61 @ Home). Villanova has one of the best teams in the country and excel at almost every aspect of the game. Providence has two of the better players in the entire Big East Conference in LaDontae Henton and Kris Dunn. Villanova is playing for a number 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament and although they have looked absolutely unstoppable as of late, I think this number is just a little bit high for a very good Providence team. Providence has been amazing ATS on neutral courts and with Henton and Dunn leading the charge, I think Providence can keep this one within the number. Take Providence and the points.