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Oakland vs. Eastern Illinois - CIT Tournament - 3/17/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Eastern Illinois Panthers (17-14) at Oakland Grizzlies (16-16)

College Basketball: Tuesday, March 17, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Athletics Center Orena)

The Line: Oakland Grizzlies -5.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Eastern Illinois Panthers and Oakland Golden Grizzlies will face off in the 1st round of the CIT Tournament at the Athletics center O’rena this Tuesday night.

The Eastern Illinois Panthers finished their regular season with a 17-14 (9-7 OVC) record after losing 97-64 to the Belmont Bruins in the quarterfinals of the OVC Tournament. The Panthers are a bit undersized and although they have a strong defensive in terms of allowed ppg, they have to rely on their outside shooting to put points on the board. Eastern Illinois is ranked 171st in the RPI standings and 210th in the BPI Standings. On the season, the Panthers have been led by Chris Olivier (13.1 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 1.4 bpg) and Trae Anderson (13.1 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.8 apg). Eastern Illinois is averaging 62.3 ppg (ranked 290th) on 43.7% shooting (ranked 161st). The Panthers average 6.9 three-pointers per game (ranked 107th) on 36.5% three-point shooting (ranked 80th). Eastern Illinois is holding their opponents to an average of 63.3 ppg (ranked 92nd) on 41.0% shooting (ranked 85th). The Panthers pull down just 30.29 total rpg (ranked 323rd) and have a rebound margin of -5.4 (ranked 327th).  

Oakland vs. Eastern Illinois - CIT Tournament  - 3/17/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Oakland Golden Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 16-16 (11-5 Horizon) record and was upset by the UIC Flames, 72-69, in the 2nd round of the Horizon League Tournament. The Grizzlies were one of the highest scoring teams in the Horizon League however, couldn’t afford an off-night offensively as their defensive was well below-average.  Oakland is ranked 158th in the RPI Standings and 158th in the BPI Standings. On the season, the Grizzlies have been led by Kahlil Felder (17.5 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 7.5 apg, 2.0 spg) and Corey Petros (14.3 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 2.0 apg). Oakland is averaging 73.7 ppg (ranked 38th) on 46.2% shooting (ranked 56th). The Golden Grizzlies average 7.8 three-pointers per game (ranked 48th) on 36.6% three-point shooting (ranked 76th). Defensively, Oakland is allowing their opponents to average 74.5 ppg (ranked 335th) on 46.5% shooting (ranked 319th). The Golden Grizzlies are allowing teams to shoot 36.45 from beyond the arc (ranked 282nd) and average just 1.7 bpg (ranked 338th).

The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Golden Grizzlies are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.

I don’t feel that this is a good match-up for Eastern Illinois as Oakland is a very talented offensive team similar to Belmont in which the Panthers defensive really struggled. Although Oakland did lose at home to the UIC Flames, they have generally been very strong at home this year including defeating the Horizon Champion, Valparaiso Crusaders. I think Oakland pulls away in the second half of this one and covers this spread. 

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