Dayton vs. Providence - 3/20/15 NCAA Tournament Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Providence Friars (22-11) at Dayton Flyers (26-8)
College Basketball: Friday, March 20, 2015 at 9:57 pm (Nationwide Arena)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Dayton Flyers and Providence Friars square off Friday night in the NCAA Tournament.
The Dayton Flyers are coming off a win over Boise State and have won six of their last eight games. On the season, Dayton is averaging 67.9 points on 46.3 percent shooting and is allowing 60.7 points on 40.2 percent shooting. Jordan Sibert is averaging 16.5 points and 3.4 rebounds while Kendall Pollard is averaging 12.8 points and 5.4 rebounds. Dyshawn Pierre is dishing 2.9 assists and Scoochie Smith is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Dayton Flyers have five players averaging at least 7.4 points, and they’re shooting 68.2 percent from the line and 35.2 percent from deep. Defensively, Dayton is allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and has given up 59 or less points in five of its last seven games.
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The Providence Friars were the fourth-best Big East team and have split their last 10 games. On the season, Providence is averaging 70.2 points on 44.2 percent shooting and is allowing 65.5 points on 42.1 percent shooting. LaDontae Henton is averaging 19.7 points and 6.4 rebounds while Kris Dunn is averaging 15.8 points and 7.6 assists. Tyler Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Carson Desrosiers is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Providence Friars have five players averaging at least 6.4 points, and they’re shooting 71 percent from the line and 31 percent from deep. Defensively, Providence is allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and has given up 66 or less points in six of its last eight games.
The Flyers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Friars are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
Providence is the rested team and has probably the top two players on the court in Henton and Dunn. I like the Friars to get the job done here, as they have a shot to bust some brackets this tournament.