Valparaiso vs. IPFW - 11/13/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
IPFW Mastodons (0-0) vs. Valparaiso Crusaders (0-0)
NCAA Basketball: Friday, November 13, 2015 at 9:00 pm (Athletics-Recreation Center)
The Line: Valparaiso -17 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The IPFW Mastodons will travel to the Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Crusaders this Friday night in College Basketball action.
The IPFW Mastodons had a solid 2014-15 season winning 8 of their last 12 games and finishing the season with a 16-15 (9-7 Summit League) record. Offensively, IPFW averaged 70.0 ppg (ranked 103rd) on 47.0% shooting (ranked 34th). The Mastodons were decent behind the arc, shooting 35.7% from three point range. Defensively, IPFW allowed their opponents to average 67.1 ppg (ranked 184th) on 44.6% shooting (ranked 261st). IFPW’s biggest win of the season came against eventual Summit League champion North Dakota State. Head coach Jon Coffman will have to replace his top scorers in Steve Forbes (14.1 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 1.0 apg) and Joe Edwards (12.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.0 spg). The Mastodons should have a solid backcourt with Mo Evans (10.2 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 3.3 apg, 1.0 spg) and Max Landis (9.3 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 2.4 apg). IPFW will be relying on junior college transfer DeAngelo Stewart and freshman John Konchar to make an immediate impact for the Mastodons and if they do, IPFW will once again be one of the better teams in the Summit League this season.
USA TODAY Sports
The Valparaiso Crusaders had an outstanding 2014-15 season as they finished with a 28-6 (13-3 Horizon) record and earned a trip to NCAA Tournament after defeating the Green Bay Phoenix 54-44, in the Horizon Championship game. Offensively, Valparaiso averaged 69.6 ppg (ranked 113th) on 45.6% shooting (ranked 75th). The Crusaders shoot an impressive 38.1% from long range (ranked 43rd) and averaged 37.5 rpg (ranked 36th). Defensively, Valparaiso had one of the best defenses in the country as they held their opponents to an average of 59.4 ppg (ranked 17th) on 38.2% shooting (ranked 6th). Head coach Bryce Drew will once again have a strong lineup as he every player from last year’s team that received significant playing time back including Alec Peters (16.8 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 1.2 apg), Darien Walker (10.7 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 1.8 apg), and Tevonn Walker (10.3 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.1 spg). Valparaiso will also have Lexus Williams back this season who averaged 6.5 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 2.4 apg in 2013-14 and missed last season due to an ACL injury. With another year of experience under their belts, Valparaiso will have their eyes on another Horizon League title and NCAA bid.
The Mastodons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and 18-7-5 ATS in their last 30 non-conference games. The Crusaders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
Valparaiso is the team to beat in the MVC conference but this a ton of points to cover for a team that only had one double digit victory in their past 10 wins. IPFW has a solid backcourt that should be able to cause some trouble and although I like the Crusaders, this is just too many points for Valparaiso to cover this early in the season. Take IPFW and the points.