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Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo - 11/29/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toledo Rockets (4-1) at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-1)

College Basketball: Sunday, November 29, 2015 at 12:30 am (Alaska Airlines Center)

The Line: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +3 -- Over/Under: 145 See the Latest Odds


The Toledo Rockets and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will face off in the Great Alaska Shootout this Sunday morning in College Basketball action.

Toledo improved to 4-1 (0-0 Mac) on the season after defeating the Loyola (CHI) Ramblers, 82-74, this past Friday. Toledo struggled offensively in the first half putting up just 25 points, however, outscored Loyola (CHI) by a 57-49 margin in the 2nd half to secure the victory. Toledo shot 52.0% from the field and 92.0% (23-25) from the FT line. The Rockets held the Ramblers to 40.9% shooting from the field and forced Loyola (CHI) to commit 12 turnovers. Leading the way for Toledo was Stuckey Mosley who had 18 points, 8 rebounds, and 5 assists. On the season, the Rockets have been led by Jonathan Williams (19.2 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 2.6 apg), Nathan Boothe (18.8 ppg, 9.0 rpg, 5.4 apg), and Stuckey Mosley (14.8 ppg, 72 rpg, 4.0 apg). Offensively, Toledo is averaging 85.8 ppg on 49.7% shooting. The Rockets average 19.4 apg and have a turnover margin of 3.2. Defensively, Toledo is allowing their opponents to average 72.0 ppg on 41.0% shooting. The Rockets have a rebound margin of 3.0 and average 5.4 spg.

Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo - 11/29/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won their 3rd consecutive game and improved to 3-1 (0-0 C-USA) on the season after defeating the UNC Asheville Bulldogs, 63-61, this past Friday. Middle Tennessee raced out to a 37-25 halftime lead and got a big three pointer from Darnell Harris with under a minute to go to help the Blue Raiders secure the victory. Middle Tennessee shot 48.0% from the field however, struggled at the FT line shooting just 37.5% (6-16). The Blue Raiders allowed the Bulldogs to shoot 38.5% from the field and just 22.2% (4-18) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Middle Tennessee was Darnell Harris who had 15 points, 7 rebounds, and a block. On the season, the Blue Raiders have been led by Giddy Potts (15.5 ppg, 4.5 rpg), Darnell Harris (10.5 ppg, 4.5 rpg), and Reggie Upshaw (10.5 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 2.8 apg). Offensively, Middle Tennessee is averaging 68.0 ppg on 43.9% shooting. The Blue Raiders average 7.8 three pointers per game on 38.3% shooting. Defensively, Middle Tennessee is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 ppg on 41.0% shooting. The Blue Raiders have a rebound margin of 1.5 and a turnover margin of -1.0.

The Rockets are 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 vs. C-USA and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The Blue Raiders are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win and just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Toledo has a few question marks coming into season as they lost their top 3 players from their 20-13 team last season, however, have looked better than expected to start the season with strong showings from Jonathan Williams and Nathan Boothe. Middle Tennessee is a young team that has played well defensively, but hasn’t shown much on the offensive end yet this season and is shooting just 63.5% from the FT Line. Toledo had been solid on both sides of the ball this season and I think they’ll have little issue covering this small spread. Take Toledo to cover.  

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