Duke vs. Elon - 12/28/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Elon Phoenix (9-3) at Duke Blue Devils (9-2)
College Basketball: Monday, December 28, 2015 at 8:00 pm (Cameron Indoor Stadium)
The Line: Duke Blue Devils -23 -- Over/Under: 158.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The Elon Phoenix will travel to Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the 15th ranked Duke Blue Devils this Monday night in College Basketball action.
The Elon Phoenix won their 6th consecutive game and improved to 9-3 (0-0 CAA) on the season after defeating UNC Asheville Bulldogs, 86-81, this past Monday. Elon used a well-balanced offensive attack and hit some key FT’s down the stretch to secure the victory. Elon shot 49.2% from the field and outrebounded UNC Ashville by a 46-43 margin. The Phoenix held the Bulldogs to 46.4% shooting from the field and 18.8% (3-16) from three-point range. Leading the way for Elon was Christian Hairston who had a double-double with 13 points, 11 rebounds, and an assist. On the season, the Phoenix have been led by Tanner Samson (15.8 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 1.8 apg), Dainan Swoope (11.6 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 2.2 apg), and Luke Eddy (10.4 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 5.8 apg). Offensively, Elon is averaging 82.8 ppg on 45.0% shooting from the field and 35.4% from beyond the arc. The Phoenix average 10.8 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.16. Defensively, Elon is allowing their opponents to average 75.8 ppg on 44.5% shooting. The Phoenix have a rebound margin of 2.8 and a turnover margin of -1.1.
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The 15th ranked Duke Blue Devils dropped to 9-2 on the season after being defeated by the Utah Utes 77-75 in overtime, on December 19th. Utah was able to build a quick 5-point lead to start of the overtime period and was able to hold the Blue Devils in the closing seconds to secure the victory. Utah shot 45.2% from the field and was great on the boards as they outrebounded Duke by a 56-38 margin. The Utes held the Blue Devils to 29.9% shooting from the field and 28.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Utah was Jakob Poeltl who had a double-double with 19 points, 14 rebounds, 3 blocks, and an assist. On the season, the Utes have been led by Jakob Poeltl (18.0 ppg, 9.7 rpg, 1.8 apg), Jordan Loveridge (13.6 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 2.1 apg), and Kyle Kuzma (11.6 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 1.4 apg). Offensively, Duke is averaging 86.2 ppg on 46.8% shooting from the field and 38.4% shooting from beyond the arc. The Blue Devils average 8.1 three-pointers per game and has an assist/turnover ratio of 1.29. Defensively, Duke is holding their opponents to an average of 69.6 ppg on 43.0% shooting. The Blue Devils have a rebound margin of 6.1 and a turnover margin of 3.5.
The Phoenix are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games and 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games. The Blue Devils are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 home games.
Elon isn’t as good as their 9-3 record might indicate however, this is a lot of points for Blue Devils to cover in their first game in almost two weeks. Elon will have trouble slowing down the Duke offense but I think they’ll be able to do enough damage from beyond the arc to keep this within the large number. Take Elon and the points.