Boise State vs. UC Davis - 12/30/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UC Davis Aggies (4-7) at Boise State Broncos (8-4)
College Basketball: Wednesday, December 30, 2015 at 9:00 pm (Taco Bell Arena)
The Line: Boise State Broncos -17 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Mountain West Network
The UC Davis Aggies will travel to Taco Bell Arena to take on the Boise State Broncos this Wednesday night in College Basketball action.
The UC Davis Aggies lost their 5th consecutive game and dropped to 4-7 (0-0 Big West) on the season after being defeated by the Seattle Redhawks, 80-75 in OT, this past Monday. UC Davis kept it close throughout the entire game however, allowed Seattle to go on a quick 5-0 run in the beginning of OT that the Aggies couldn’t overcome. UC Davis shot 45.8% from the field and 39.1% (9-23) from beyond the arc, however, had issues at the FT line hitting just 12 of 21 FT attempts. The Aggies allowed the Redhawks to shoot 47.4% from the field and committed 18 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for UC Davis was Josh Fox who had 18 points, 3 rebounds, 2 steals, 1 block, and an assist. On the season, the Aggies have been led by Josh Fox (12.6 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 1.9 apg), Brynton Lemar (11.2 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 1.6 apg), and Darius Graham (9.6 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.3 spg). Offensviely, UC Davis is averaging 69.2 ppg on 44.9% shooting from the field and 37.6% shooting from three-point range. The Aggies average 6.1 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.75. Defensively, UC Davis is holding their opponents to an average of 69.4 ppg on 41.7% shooting. The Aggies have a rebound margin of 2.7 and a turnover margin of -1.9.
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The Boise State Broncos won their 5th straight game and improved to 8-4 (0-0 MW) on the season after defeating the Bradley Braves, 90-70, on December 20th. Boise State had a little trouble with the Braves as they held a 46-33 lead at halftime and didn’t allowed Bradley to get within single digits in the 2nd half. Boise State shot 45.9% from the field and was outstanding at the FT line hitting 28 of 34 attempts. The Broncos held Bradley to 41.9% shooting from the field and won the turnover battle by a 14-6 margin. Leading the way for Boise State was James Webb III who had 31 points, 8 rebounds, and 4 steals. On the season, the Broncos have been led by James Webb III (14.8 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.3 spg), Anthony Drmic (14.5 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 1.5 apg), and Nick Duncan (12.1 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 1.8 apg). Offensviely, Boise State is averaging 79.8 ppg on 46.6% shooting from the field and 35.8% shooting from beyond the arc. The Broncos average 9.3 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.28. Defensively, Boise State is holding their opponents to an average of 68.3 ppg on 42.8% shooting from the field. The Broncos have a rebound margin of 3.7 and a turnover margin of 2.4.
The Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Wednesday games however, just 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Broncos are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
The UC Davis Aggies lost all of their backcourt form their conference championship team last year and has struggled as of late putting points on the board in their five game losing streak, the Aggies are averaging just 61.6 ppg. Boise State is perfect 6-0 at home this season which includes impressive victories over UC-Irvine and Oregon. Boise State is clearly the better team in this one however, UC Davis has yet to lose a game this season by more than 14 points and as long as they limit their turnovers, I think the Aggies will be able to cover with the points in this one. Take UC Davis and the points.