Appalachian State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette - 2/4/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns (12-8) at Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-15)
College Basketball: Thursday, February 4, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Holmes Convocation Center)
The Line: Appalachian State Mountaineers +6.5 -- Over/Under: 158.5 See the Latest Odds
The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns will travel to the Holmes Convocation Center to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers this Thursday night in College Basketball action.
The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns won their 7th straight game and improved to 12-8 (8-3 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks, 72-65 in OT, this past Tuesday. Louisiana Lafayette couldn’t get a game winning basket by Kasey Shepherd in regulation but outscored the Warhawks by a 8-1 margin in OT to secure the win. Louisiana Lafayette struggled offensively as they shot just 38.1% from the field and 23.8% (5-21) from beyond the arc. The Ragin Cajuns held the Warhawks to 38.7% shooting from the field and outrebounded Louisiana Monroe by a 51-30 margin. Leading the way for Louisiana Lafayette was Shawn Long who had a double-double with 28 points, 17 rebounds, 2 blocks, 1 assist, and a steal. On the season, the Ragin Cajuns have been led by Shawn Long (19.4 ppg, 13.0 rpg, 1.2 apg, 1.9 bpg), Kasey Shepherd (11.3 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.6 spg), and Jay Wright (9.5 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 3.9 apg). Offensively, Louisiana Lafayette is averaging 81.8 ppg on 45.3% shooting from the field and 30.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Ragin Cajuns average 6.7 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.00. Defensively, Louisiana Lafayette is allowing their opponents to average 73.4 ppg on 43.1% shooting. The Ragin Cajuns average 7.1 steals per game and have a rebound margin of 8.8.
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The Appalachian State Mountaineers dropped to 6-15 (4-6 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the South Alabama Jaguars, 73-60, this past Saturday. Appalachian State had a 30-25 halftime lead over South Alabama however, scored just one FG in the first 10 minutes of the 2nd half which allowed the Jaguars to build a double-digit lead that the Mountaineers couldn’t come back from. Appalachian State shot 31.8% from the field and 27.6% (8-29) from beyond the arc in the loss. The Mountaineers allowed the Jaguars to shoot 50.0% (29-58) from the field and was outrebounded by South Alabama by a 47-31 margin. Leading the way for Appalachian State was Chris Burgess who had 14 points, 1 assist, and a rebound. On the season, the Mountaineers have been led by Frank Eaves (20.3 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 2.2 apg), Ronshad Shabazz (10.7 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 1.4 apg), and Chris Burgess (7.8 ppg, 1.1 rpg, 2.4 apg). Offensviely, Appalachian State is averaging 69.6 ppg on 40.3% shooting from the field and 36.8% shooting from beyond the arc. The Mountaineers average 8.3 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.73. Defensively, Appalachian State is allowing their opponents to average 76.4 ppg on 45.3% shooting from the field. The Mountaineers have a rebound margin of -1.8 and a turnover margin of -4.1.
The Ragin Cajuns are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Mountaineers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Louisiana Lafayette struggled with a tough non-conference schedule, however, the Ragin Cajuns have been outstanding recently in conference play and showing everyone why many thought they would be the Sun Belt champions by the end of the season. Appalachian State has been able to pick up a few decent conference wins however, the Mountaineers have struggled a bit offensively if they can’t get hit three-pointers as they rank 318th in the country in FG %. Louisiana Lafayette has the best player in the conference in Shawn Long and as Appalachian State had no answers for the Ragin Cajuns in a 79-58 loss earlier this season, I think Louisiana Lafayette will be able to cover this mid-range spread on the road. Take Louisiana Lafayette to cover.