Ball State vs. Western Michigan - 2/6/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Western Michigan Broncos (9-13) at Ball State Cardinals (14-8)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 6, 2016 at 2:00 pm (Worthen Arena)
The Line: Ball State Cardinals -6 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Western Michigan Broncos will travel to John E. Worthen Arena to take on the Ball State Cardinals this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The Western Michigan Broncos dropped to 9-13 (3-6 MAC West) on the season after being defeated by the Toledo Rockets, 89-62, this past Tuesday. Western Michigan was down by a 44-30 margin at halftime and allowed Toledo to go on a 11-0 run late in the 2nd half to put this one out of reach. Western Michigan shot 40.7% from the field and 60.0% (9-15) from beyond the arc in the loss. The Broncos allowed the Rockets to shoot 51.7% from the field and was outrebounded by Toledo by a 42-20 margin. Leading the way for Western Michigan was Thomas Wilder who had 20 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists, and a steal. On the season, the Broncos have been led by Thomas Wilder (18.5 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.4 spg), Tucker Haymond (16.8 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 1.8 apg), and Anthony Avery Jr. (7.4 ppg, 5.8 rpg). Offensively, Western Michigan is averaging 74.7 ppg on 43.4% shooting from the field and 37.4% shooting from beyond the arc. The Broncos average 7.2 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.95. Defensively, Western Michigan is allowing their opponents to average 74.7 ppg on 44.0% shooting. The Broncos have a rebound margin of 2.6 and a turnover margin of -1.3.
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The Ball State Cardinals snapped their two game losing streak and improved to 14-8 (5-4 MAC West) on the season after defeating the Bowling Green Falcons, 72-64, this past Tuesday. Ball State was down by 7-points at halftime but was outstanding on the defensive side of the ball and outscored the Falcons by a 39-24 in the 2nd half to get the comeback victory. Ball State shot 53.2% from the field and 52.6% (10-19) from beyond the arc. The Cardinals held the Falcons to 37.5% shooting from the field and was outrebounded by Bowling Green by a 35-25 margin. Leading the way for Ball State was Franko House who had 16 points, 7 rebounds, 2 blocks, 1 assist, and a steal. On the season, the Cardinals have been led by Ryan Weber (11.4 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 1.8 apg), Franko House (11.3 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 1.7 apg), and Bo Calhoun (10.8 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.0 spg). Offensively, Ball State is averaging 70.0 ppg on 44.4% shooting from the field and 38.1% shooting from beyond the arc. The Cardinals average 8.4 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.11. Defensively, Ball State is holding their opponents to average 65.7 ppg on 40.6% shooting. The Cardinals average 3.7 blocks per game and have a rebound margin of 1.3.
The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss however, just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Cardinals are 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Western Michigan suffered a big blow when they lost one of their best players in Connar Tava due to injury before the start of the season and have really struggled on the defensive end. Ball State has had a solid season at home as they currently have a 9-3 record which includes a great win over a very good Valparaiso Crusaders team. Western Michigan has yet to win on the road this season (0-7) and as they already loss to the Cardinals by a 74-64 margin at home this season, I think Ball State and their solid defense does enough to cover this spread. Take Ball State to cover.