Morehead State vs. Belmont - 2/13/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Belmont Bruins (18-8) at Morehead State Eagles (13-11)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 13, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Ellis Johnson Arena)
The Line: Morehead State Eagles -2.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The Belmont Bruins will travel to Ellis T. Johnson Arena to take on the Morehead State Eagles this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The Belmont Bruins improved to 18-8 (10-2 OVC) on the season after defeating the Jacksonville State Gamecocks, 81-73, this past Wednesday. Belmont was able to build up a 19-point lead in the 2nd half and was able to hang on for the win late in the game even after allowing Jacksonville State to go on a 19-2 run. Belmont was impressive on the offensive end as they shot 53.4% from the field and 54.5% (12-22) from beyond the arc. The Bruins allowed the Gamecocks to shoot 54.3% and outrebounded Jacksonville State by a 32-24 margin. Leading the way for Belmont was Evan Bradds who had 18 points, 9 rebounds, 3 assists, and a steal. On the season, the Bruins have been led by Evan Bradds (17.6 ppg, 9.8 rpg, 2.2 apg), Craig Bradshaw (15.7 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.2 spg), and Taylor Barnette (10.2 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 2.0 apg). Offensively, Belmont is averaging 81.8 ppg on 49.2% shooting from the field and 36.2% shooting from beyond the arc. The Bruins average 10.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.24. Defensively, Belmont is allowing their opponents to average 76.6 ppg on 43.4% shooting. The Bruins have a rebound margin of -0.7 and a turnover margin of -1.8.
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The Morehead State Eagles snapped their two game losing streak and improved to 13-11 (7-5 OVC) on the season after defeating the Eastern Kentucky Colonels, 61-50, this past Thursday. Morehead State used a strong defensive 1st half to take a 24-18 halftime lead and went on a 9-1 run late in the 2nd half to secure the win. Morehead State shot 38.3% from the field and outrebounded Eastern Kentucky by a 34-27 margin. The Eagles allowed the Colonels to shoot 51.4% from the field and won the turnover battle by a 25-11 margin. Leading the way for Morehead State was Anthony Elechi who had 16 points, 8 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 steals. On the season, the Eagles have been led by Corban Collins (12.2 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 3.1 apg), Xavier Moon (10.2 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 1.5 apg), and Brent Arrington (9.1 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 3.3 apg). Offensively, Morehead State is averaging 71.2 ppg on 43.9% shooting from the field and 38.2% shooting from beyond the arc. The Eagles average 6.1 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.07. Defensively, Morehead State is holding their opponents to an average of 67.4 ppg on 43.9% shooting. The Eagles have a rebound margin of 4.6 and average 8.1 steals per game.
The Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games following three or more consecutive home games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Eagles are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Belmont has two of the best players in the OVC in Evan Bradds and Craig Bradshaw however, have struggled a bit as of late losing two their last four games. Morehead State has a solid defense and should have the advantage down low with their size. Morehead has a solid 9-2 record at home and as the Eagles had some success containing the Bruins offense in the 2nd half in their recent loss at Belmont, I think Morehead State will be able generate enough offense off turnovers to pull off the victory at home and cover this small spread. Take Morehead State to cover.