Valparaiso vs. Wright State - 2/13/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Wright State Raiders (15-11) at Valparaiso Crusaders (21-4)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 13, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Athletics-Recreation Center)
The Line: Valparaiso Crusaders -14.5 -- Over/Under: 124.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Wright State Raiders will travel to the Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Crusaders this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The Wright State Raiders has their two game winning streak snapped and dropped to 15-11 (9-4 Horizon) on the season after their surprising loss to the UIC Flames, 64-59, this past Thursday. Wright State struggled offensively throughout the game and although they were only down by a 33-31 margin, couldn’t never gain a lead over the Flames in the 2nd half. Wright State shot just 32.3% from the field and 23.1% (6-26) from beyond the arc in the loss. The Raiders allowed the Flames to shoot 48.9% from the field and outrebounded Wright State by a 43-33 margin. Leading the way for Wright State was Mark Alstork who had 15 points, 7 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 steals, and 2 blocks. On the season, the Raiders have been led by JT Yoho (13.3 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 2.5 apg), Mark Alstork (12.6 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.3 apg), and Joe Thomasson (9.8 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 3.4 apg). Offensively, Wright State is averaging 68.2 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field and 37.0% shooting from beyond the arc. The Raiders average 7.6 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.17. Defensively, Wright State is holding their opponents to an average of 65.8 ppg on 42.6% shooting. The Raiders have a rebound margin of -3.5 and a turnover margin of 2.1.
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The Valparaiso Crusaders won their 5th straight game and improved to 21-4 (11-1 Horizon) on the season after defeating the Northern Kentucky Norse, 64-52, this past Thursday. Valparaiso was able to get out to an 18-point halftime lead and although the Norse made a bit of a run in the 2nd half, Valparaiso had little issue holding off Northern Kentucky to get the victory. Valparaiso was solid offensively as they shot 41.7% from the field and 45.8% (11-24) from beyond the arc. The Crusaders allowed the Norse to shoot 40.8% from the field and outrebounded Northern Kentucky by a 37-28 margin. Leading the way for Valparaiso was Shane Hammink who had 12 points, 5 assists, and a rebound from off the bench. On the season, the Crusaders have been led by Alec Peters (16.7 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 1.0 apg), Tevonn Walker (10.4 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.0 spg), and Keith Carter (9.4 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 4.0 apg, 1.5 spg). Offensively, Valparaiso is averaging 75.3 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field and 35.9% shooting from beyond the arc. The Crusaders average 7.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.08. Defensively, Valparaiso is holding their opponents to an average of 59.4 ppg on 37.0% shooting. The Crusaders average 7.3 steals per game and have a rebound margin of 10.5.
The Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Crusaders are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.
Wright State has been the only team to defeat Valparaiso in conference play this season and might have been caught looking ahead to this matchup last Thursday when they suffered a bad loss to the 4-19 UIC Flames. Valparaiso has rebounded nicely since their loss to Wright State winning their last 5 games and currently has one of the best defenses in the country. Valparaiso will surely be looking for some revenge against the Raiders, however, Wright State has a decent defense that could give the Crusaders some issues and I think this is just too many points for Valparaiso to cover. Take Wright State and the points.