Texas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe - 2/18/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (13-12) at Texas State Bobcats (10-12)
College Basketball: Thursday, February 18, 2016 at 8:30 pm (Strahan Coliseum)
The Line: Texas State Bobcats +2 -- Over/Under: 128 See the Latest Odds
The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks will travel to the Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats this Thursday night in College Basketball action.
The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks won their 3rd straight game and improved to 13-12 (9-5 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 78-73 in OT, this past Saturday. In a close game throughout, Louisiana Monroe was able to get a big overtime period from Justin Roberson to be able to get the victory at home. Louisiana Monroe shot 39.4% from the field and won the turnover battle by a 12-6 margin. The Warhawks allowed the Red Wolves to shoot 47.5% from the field and was outrebounded by Arkansas State by a 41-36 margin. Leading the way for Louisiana Monroe was Justin Roberson who had 27 points, 8 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 blocks, and 1 steal. On the season, the Warhawks have been led by Majok Deng (19.9 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.4 bpg), Justin Roberson (14.0 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.6 spg), and Nick Coppola (10.9 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 5.1 apg). Offensively, Louisiana Monroe is averaging 73.4 ppg on 45.6% shooting from the field and 35.6% shooting from beyond the arc. The Warhawks average 6.4 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.10. Defensively, Louisiana Monroe is allowing their opponents to average 71.2 ppg on 41.9% shooting. The Warhawks have a rebound margin of 2.4 and a turnover margin of -1.0.
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The Texas State Bobcats snapped their five game losing streak and improved to 10-12 (4-9 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Appalachian State Mountaineers, 69-68, this past Thursday. Texas State had a 37-30 halftime lead and got a career game by Emani Gant to hold off the Mountaineers in the victory. Texas State shot 44.1% from the field and won the turnover battle by a 14-8 margin. The Bobcats allowed the Mountaineers to shot 47.3% from the field and 35.0% (7-20) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Texas State was Emani Gant who had a double-double with 26 points, 12 rebounds, 1 assist, and a steal. On the season, the Bobcats have been led by Emani Gant (12.9 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 1.4 apg), Kavin Gilder-Tilbury (12.6 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.1 spg), and Ethan Montalvo (10.6 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 1.3 apg). Offensively, Texas State is averaging 65.8 ppg on 42.1% shooting from the field and 32.4% shooting from beyond the arc. The Bobcats average 4.7 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.94. Defensively, Texas State is holding their opponents to an average of 63.9 ppg on 43.7% shooting. The Bobcats average 6.6 steals per game and have a turnover margin of 3.0.
The Warhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Bobcats are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS loss and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Louisiana Monroe might be hovering around the .500 mark when it comes to their overall record but have been great in Sun Belt play which includes wins over Arkansas-Little Rock and Louisiana Lafayette. Texas State can struggle on the offensive end however, has been competitive in many games this season due to a defense that ranks 19th in the country in scoring defense. Louisiana Monroe is 9-5 in conference play this season however, just 1-5 on the road in conference play and as the Warhawks are averaging just 62.5 ppg on the road this season, I think the Bobcats defense will keep this game close enough that Texas State covers with the points.