UT-Arlington vs. Louisiana-Lafayette - 2/18/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns (14-9) at Texas-Arlington Mavericks (17-7)
College Basketball: Thursday, February 18, 2016 at 8:15 pm (College Park Center)
The Line: Texas-Arlington Mavericks -4.5 -- Over/Under: 158 See the Latest Odds
The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns will travel to the College Park Center to take on the UT-Arlington Mavericks this Thursday night in College Basketball action.
The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns had their 9-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 14-9 (10-4 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans, 68-64, this past Saturday. Louisiana Lafayette didn’t have many answers for the Arkansas-Little Rock defense and couldn’t overcome an 11-point halftime deficit in the loss. Louisiana Lafayette shot 42.9% from the field and just 15.8% (3-19) from beyond the arc. The Ragin Cajuns allowed the Trojans to shoot 5.9% from the field and 57.1% (4-7) from three-point range. Leading the way for Louisiana Lafayette was Shawn Long who had a double-double with 12 points, 12 rebounds, and 3 assists. On the season, the Ragin Cajuns have been led by Shawn Long (18.9 ppg, 12.9 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.8 bpg), Kasey Shepherd (11.2 ppg, 1.8 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.4 spg), and Jay Wright (9.1 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 3.6 apg). Offensively, Louisiana Lafayette is averaging 81.3 ppg on 45.5% shooting from the field and 30.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Ragin Cajuns average 6.6 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.98. Defensively, Louisiana Lafayette is allowing their opponents to average 73.2 ppg on 43.4% shooting. The Ragin Cajuns have a rebound margin of 8.1 and average 8.1 steals per game.
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The UT-Arlington Mavericks won their 3rd straight game and improved to 17-7 (8-5 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Appalachian State Mountaineers, 91-60, this past Saturday. UT-Arlington put this one away early as the Mavericks had no problem getting the victory after taking a 49-21 halftime lead. UT-Arlington shot 55.2% from the field and 44.4% (8-18) from beyond the arc in the win. The Mavericks held the Mountaineers to shoot 30.2% from the field and 18.2% (6-33) from three-point range. Leading the way for UT-Arlington was Erick Neal who had 11 points, 5 rebounds, 7 assists, 2 steals, and a block. On the season, the Mavericks have been led by Kevin Hervey (18.1 ppg, 9.8 rpg, 2.9 apg), Erick Neal (13.6 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 5.8 apg), and Jalen Jones (12.4 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 1.4 apg). Offensively, UT-Arlington is averaging 81.0 ppg on 42.5% shooting from the field and 33.5% shooting from beyond the arc. The Mavericks average 9.3 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.27. Defensively, UT-Arlington is holding their opponents to an average of 68.9 ppg on 39.9% shooting. The Mavericks average 7.9 steals per game and have a rebound margin of 8.7.
The Ragin Cajuns are 11-24 ATS in their last 35 Thursday games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Louisiana Lafayette might have struggled on the offensive end in their recent loss but make no mistake, the Ragin Cajuns have one of the better offensives in the country led by double-double machine, Shawn Long. UT-Arlington have rebounded from their five-game losing streak to win their past three games and have been great on both sides of the ball during the winning streak as they are averaging 82.0 ppg on offense while holding their opponents to just 60.6 ppg. Louisiana Lafayette might be just 3-8 on the road this season but they were able to defeat the Mavericks by a 15-point margin earlier in the season and I think the Ragin Cajuns will be able to keep this one close enough to cover with the points. Take Louisiana Lafayette and the points.