Cal Poly vs. CS Northridge - 2/20/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
CS Northridge Matadors (9-17) at Cal Poly Mustangs (10-15)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 20, 2016 at 10:00 pm (Mott Gymnasium)
The Line: Cal Poly Mustangs -7 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The CS Northridge Matadors will travel to the Mott Athletics Center to take on the Cal Poly Mustangs this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The CS Northridge Matadors lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 9-17 (4-8 Big West) on the season after being defeated by the Hawaii Rainbows, 69-63, this past Thursday. CS Northridge was able to fight back from 32-26 halftime deficit to take a late 63-62 lead, however Hawaii to go on a 7-1 run to end the game in the loss. CS Northridge struggled offensively as they shot just 37.5% from the field and 7.1% (1-14) from beyond the arc. The Matadors allowed the Rainbow Warriors to shoot 46.8% from the field and was outrebounded by Hawaii by a 38-25 margin. Leading the way for CS Northridge was Kendall Smith who had 13 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists, and 2 steals. On the season, the Matadors have been led by Kendall Smith (16.2 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 3.2 apg), Micheal Warren (13.3 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.2 spg), and Aaron Parks (11.5 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.8 spg). Offensively, CS Northridge is averaging 70.9 ppg on 44.2% shooting from the field and 30.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Matadors average 4.3 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.03. Defensively, CS Northridge is allowing their opponents to average 74.5 ppg on 44.0% shooting. The Matadors have a rebound margin of -1.8 and average 6.3 steals per game.
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The Cal Poly Mustangs won their 2nd straight game and improved to 10-15 (4-8 Big West) on the season after defeating the UC Davis Aggies, 58-53, this past Thursday. Both Cal Poly and UC Davis struggled offensively in this one however, Cal Poly was able to get a 33-30 lead midway through the 2nd the half and was able to hang on to that slim lead for the remainder of the game. Cal Poly shot 33.3% from the field and 22.7% (5-22) from beyond the arc in the victory. The Mustangs held the Aggies to 38.0% shooting from the field and outrebounded UC Davis by a 43-22 margin. Leading the way for Cal Poly was Josh Martin who had a double-double with 11 points, 10 rebounds, 1 block, and a steal. On the season, the Mustangs have been led by David Nwaba (12.4 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 3.8 apg, 1.4 spg), Reese Morgan (10.6 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.0 spg), and Brian Bennett (9.0 ppg, 4.2 rpg). Offensively, Cal Poly is averaging 73.9 ppg on 42.7% shooting from the field and 35.6% shooting from beyond the arc. The Mustangs average 7.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.41. Defensively, Cal Poly is allowing their opponents to average 75.1 ppg on 45.9% shooting. The Mustangs have a rebound margin of -0.2 and a turnover margin of 1.0.
The Matadors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Mustangs are 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 Saturday games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
CS Northridge was able to pick up a victory against Cal Poly at home earlier this season and although they’ve lost their last two games, they were quite competitive against two of the better Big West teams in UC-Irvine and Hawaii. Cal Poly has been able to rebound from a five-game losing streak to win their last two and can be dangerous from beyond the arc as they average about 8 three-pointers per game. Both of these teams have struggled this season but as CS Northridge was able to get a 76-74 victory earlier in the season and lost by just single digits versus the best of the Big West, I’m taking the Matadors to cover with the points in this one.