Arkansas-Little Rock vs. UT-Arlington - 2/25/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas-Arlington Mavericks (18-8) at Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (24-3)
College Basketball: Thursday, February 25, 2016 at 8:15 pm (Jack Stephens Center)
The Line: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans -7.0 -- Over/Under: 135 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The UT-Arlington Mavericks will travel to the Jack Stephens Center to take on the Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans this Thursday night in College Basketball action.
The UT-Arlington Mavericks had their four game winning streak snapped and dropped to 18-8 (9-6 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks, 64-61, this past Saturday. UT-Arlington struggled offensively for their standards and although they were in it until end, couldn’t regain the lead after allowing the Warhawks, Mack Foster, get the lead with 38 seconds left in the game. UT-Arlington shot 35.0% from the field and 25.9% (7-27) from beyond the arc. The Mavericks allowed the Warhawks to shoot 36.7% from the field and 42.9% (9-21) from three-point range. Leading the way for UT-Arlington was Jorge Bilbao who had a double-double with 18 points, 11 rebounds, 2 assists, and a block. On the season, the Mavericks have been led by Kevin Hervey (18.1 ppg, 9.8 rpg, 2.9 apg), Erick Neal (13.6 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 5.8 apg, 1.6 spg), and Jalen Jones (12.6 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 1.4 apg). Offensively, UT-Arlington is averaging 80.3 ppg on 42.0% shooting from the field and 33.2% shooting form beyond the arc. The Mavericks average 9.2 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.26. Defensively, UT-Arlington is holding their opponents to average 69.2 ppg on 39.8% shooting. The Mavericks have a rebound margin of 7.8 and a turnover margin of 2.2.
USA TODAY Sports
The Arkansas-Little Rock won their 3rd straight game and improved to 24-3 (14-2 Sun Belt) on the season after they defeated the Georgia Southern Panthers, 75-61, this past Saturday. Arkansas-Little Rock was able to build a 41-31 halftime lead and used a 12-0 run early in the 2nd half to take complete control of the game and secure the win. Arkansas-Little Rock shot 51.0% from the field and outrebounded Georgia Southern by a 37-25 margin. The Trojans held the Panthers to 34.7% shooting from the field and 21.1% (4-19) shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Trojans was Josh Hagins who had 16 points, 2 rebounds, and 3 assists. On the season, the Trojans have been led by Josh Hagins (12.8 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 4.6 apg, 1.4 spg), Marcus Johnson Jr. (12.4 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 1.6 apg), and Roger Woods (8.9 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 1.4 apg). Offensively, Arkansas-Little Rock is averaging 70.4 ppg on 44.8% shooting from the field and 37.4% shooting from beyond the arc. The Trojans average 7.4 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.21. Defensively, Arkansas-Little Rock is holding their opponents to an average of 58.4 ppg on 37.7% shooting. The Trojans average 6.7 steals per game and have a turnover margin of 3.5.
The Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 however, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games following three or more consecutive home games. The Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
UT-Arlington has been one of the more impressive offensive teams in the country this season as they rank 25th in the country in scoring offense and 26th in three-pointers made per game. Arkansas-Little Rock has been one of the most surprising teams in the country this season and has been led by their outstanding defense that ranks 1st in the country in scoring defense and 4th in defensive FG%. Arkansas-Little Rock is a perfect 11-0 at home this season and as they had no trouble shutting down the tough Mavericks offense on the road, I think the Trojans will have no problem covering this mid-range spread at home. Take Arkansas-Little Rock to cover.