Miami vs. Louisville - 2/27/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisville Cardinals (22-6) at Miami Hurricanes (22-5)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 27, 2016 at 2:00 pm (BankUnited Center)
The Line: Miami Hurricanes -3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ACC Network; ESPN College Extra
The 11th ranked Louisville Cardinals will travel to the BankUnited Center to take on the 12th ranked Miami Hurricanes this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The 11th ranked Louisville Cardinals won their 3rd consecutive game and improved to 22-6 (11-4 ACC) on the season after defeating the Pittsburgh Panthers, 67-60, this past Wednesday. Louisville used an 8-0 run late in the game to help them pull away from a 58-58 tie and secure the victory. Louisville was impressive on the offensive end as they shot 50.9% from the field and 43.8% (7-16) from beyond the arc. The Cardinals held the Panthers to 42.0% shooting from the field and was outrebounded by Pittsburgh by a 34-28 margin. Leading the way for Louisville was Chinanu Onuaku who had 10 points, 5 rebounds, 6 assists, 2 blocks, and a steal. On the season, the Cardinals have been led by Damion Lee (16.6 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.6 spg), Trey Lewis (11.7 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.0 spg), and Chinanu Onuaku (9.8 ppg, 8.6 rpg, 1.5 apg). Offensviely, Louisville is averaging 77.0 ppg on 47.9% shooting from the field and 36.4% shooting from beyond the arc. The Cardinals are one of the better rebound teams in the country and have a rebound margin of 10.0. Defensively, Louisville is holding their opponents to an average of 60.8 ppg on 31.5% shooting.
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The 12th ranked Miami Hurricane rebounded from their blowout loss at North Carolina to defeat the 3rd ranked Virginia Cavilers, 64-61, this past Monday to improve to 22-5 (11-4 ACC) on the season. Miami was able to take a 60-52 lead with just under three minutes to play after a Davon Reed three-pointer and was able to hang on for the victory after a late push from the Cavaliers. Miami shot 45.7% from the field and was outrebounded by Virginia by a 35-30 margin. The Hurricanes held the Cavaliers to 43.1% shooting from the field and 31.3% (5-16) shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Miami was Devon Reed who had 21 points and 3 rebounds. On the season, the Hurricanes have been led by Sheldon McClellan (15.7 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.0 spg), Angel Rodriguez (11.3 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 4.3 apg, 1.5 spg), and Davon Reed (10.9 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 1.3 apg). Offensviely, Miami is averaging 76.3 ppg on 47.3% shooting from the field and 36.3% shooting from beyond the arc. The Hurricanes are one of the better free-throw shooting teams in the country as they hit 74.6% of their FT’s which ranks 27th in college basketball. Defensively, Miami is holding their opponents to 66.3 ppg on 42.3% shooting.
The Cardinals are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win and just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.
Louisville has been playing inspired basketball over the last week as they make a push to try and overtake North Carolina for the regular-season ACC championship, which is the only thing the Cardinals can play for after ruling themselves ineligible for both the conference and ACC tournament. Miami had some people question them after struggling at UNC, however, showed why they are considered one of the top teams in the country with their impressive win at home against Virginia. I like how Louisville been playing as of late, however, the Cardinals have struggled on the road bit this season posing just a 4-5 record. Miami is an impressive 14-1 at home this season and although I think this game will be very much like their recent matchup against Virginia, a low-scoring/defensive battle, I think the Hurricanes will generate enough offense and pull off the victory in this one while covering this small spread. Take Miami to cover.