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Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall - 2/27/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Marshall Thundering Herd (15-13) at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (18-9)

College Basketball: Saturday, February 27, 2016 at 6:00 pm (Murphy Center)

The Line: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Marshall Thundering Herd will travel to the Murphy Athletic Center to take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The Marshall Thundering Herd had their four game winning streak snapped and dropped to 15-13 (11-4 C-USA) on the season after being defeated by the UAB Blazers, 95-91, this past Thursday. Marshall played the Blazers to a close game throughout in this one but allowed UAB to use a late 6-2 run to gain a bit of separation and get the win. Marshall shot 44.2% from the field and won the turnover battle by a 12-8 margin. The Thundering Herd allowed the Blazers to shoot 47.0% from the field and 45.8% (11-24) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Marshall was Jon Elmore who had 19 points, 6 rebounds, 7 assists, and 2 steals. On the season, the Thundering Herd have been led by James Kelly (20.3 ppg, 9.8 rpg, 1.2 apg, 1.4 spg), Jon Elmore (14.8 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 5.9 apg), and Ryan Taylor (14.5 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.0 spg). Offensively, Marshall is averaging 85.0 ppg on 46.3% shooting from the field and 34.1% shooting from beyond the arc. The Thundering Herd average 10.1 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.28. Defensively, Marshall is allowing their opponents to average 82.8 ppg on 46.0% shooting. The Thundering Herd have a rebound margin of -3.2 and average 6.9 steals per game.

Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall - 2/27/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost their 2nd consecutive game and dropped to 18-9 (10-5 C-USA) on the season after being defeated by the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 78-72, this past Thursday. Middle Tennessee had a 65-64 lead with just under five minutes left to play however, allowed Western Kentucky to go on a 6-1 run to take control of the game and get the win. Middle Tennessee shot 46.6% from the field and was outrebounded by Western Kentucky by a 40-29 margin. The Blue Raiders allowed the Hilltoppers to shoot 51.8% from the field and 53.3% (8-15) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Middle Tennessee was Giddy Potts who had a double-double with 19 points, 12 rebounds, 2 steals, and an assist. On the season, the Blue Raiders have been led by Giddy Potts (15.0 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 1.4 apg), Reggie Upshaw (13.1 ppg, 8.6 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.4 spg), and Darnell Harris (12.2 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 1.3 apg). Offensively, Middle Tennessee is averaging 72.1 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field and 38.4% shooting for beyond the arc. The Blue Raiders average 8.1 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.11. Defensively, Middle Tennessee is holding their opponents to an average of 68.9 ppg on 43.2% shooting. The Blue Raiders have a rebound margin of 1.8 and a turnover margin of 1.7.

The Thundering Herd are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. C-USA opponents. The Blue Raiders are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Marshall couldn’t get a big win agasint the C-USA leading UAB Blazers but has been one of the better teams in the conference this season with an offense that ranks 5th in the country in scoring offense and 9th in three-pointers made per game. Middle Tennessee has lost 3 of their last 4 games and have struggled on the offensive end as during this span, the Blue Raiders have averaged just 69.5 ppg. Middle Tennessee has a 10-3 record at home this season however, didn’t put much of a fight against Marshall earlier in the season in a 82-66 loss, and although Blue Raiders should be able to score some points on the weak Thundering Herd defense, I just don’t think Middle Tennessee will be able to get the win while covering in this one. Take Marshall and the points.

Updated – Middle Tennessee just found out that their leading scorer, Giddy Potts, has been ruled out indefinitely due to a concussion. I imagine this line will swing a bit but even if Marshall becomes a small favorite, I like the Thundering Herd in this one. 

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