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Western Illinois vs. South Dakota - 2/27/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

South Dakota Coyotes (14-16) at Western Illinois Leathernecks (9-17)

College Basketball: Saturday, February 27, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Western Hall)

The Line: Western Illinois Leathernecks -1 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The South Dakota Coyotes will travel to Western Hall to take on the Western Illinois Leathernecks this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The South Dakota Coyotes improved to 14-16 (5-10 Summit) on the season with a surprising 85-82 victory over the IUPUI Jaguars this past Thursday. South Dakota had a five-point halftime lead and was able to hang on for victory after taking a 78-69 lead with just over two minutes left to play. South Dakota was outstanding on the offensive end as they shot 52.5% from the field, 33.3% (4-12) from beyond the arc, and 81.0% (17-21) from the FT line. The Coyotes allowed the Jaguars to shoot 45.6% from the field and 29.6% (8-27) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for South Dakota was Tyler Flack who had 22 points, 7 rebounds, 3 steals, and a block. On the season, the Coyotes have been led by Tre Burnette (12.7 ppg, 6.6 rpg 1.6 apg, 1.1 bpg), Casey Kasperbauer (12.4 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 2.1 apg), and Shy McClelland (11.5 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.5 spg). Offensively, South Dakota is averaging 76.6 ppg on 47.1% shooting from the field and 35.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Coyotes average 6.2 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.30. Defensively, South Dakota is allowing their opponents to average 78.7 ppg on 45.1% shooting. The Coyotes have a rebound margin of -2.8 and a turnover margin of 1.9.

Western Illinois vs. South Dakota - 2/27/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Western Illinois Leathernecks lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 9-17 (2-13 Summit) on the season after being defeated by the IPFW Mastodons, 87-75, this past Thursday. Western Illinois was down by a 39-34 margin at halftime and allowed the Mastodons to open the 2nd half on a 24-11 run which put this one out of reach. Western Illinois shot 45.9% from the field and 35.0% (7-20) from beyond the arc in the loss. The Leathernecks allowed the Mastodons to shoot 48.1% from the field and 42.3% (11-26) from three-point range. Leading the way for Western Illinois was Garret Covington who had 26 points, 3 rebounds, 4 assists, and 2 steals. On the season, the Leathernecks have been led by Garret Covington (18.0 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 1.9 apg), J.C. Fuller (12.7 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 1.9 apg), and Jabari Sandifer (8.2 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 4.8 apg). Offensively, Western Illinois is averaging 69.8 ppg on 44.2% shooting from the field and 38.4% shooting from beyond the arc. The Leathernecks average 6.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.09. Defensively, Western Illinois is allowing their opponents to average 70.7 ppg on 42.9% shooting. The Leathernecks average 3.3 blocks per game and have a turnover margin of -1.0.

The Coyotes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. The Leathernecks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home however, just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.

South Dakota got a great win over IUPUI on the road however, this is still a team that needs to have all things firing on the offensive end to win games as their defense ranks 316th in scoring defense and 271st in defensive FG%. Western Illinois has a couple of great wins on their resume this season however, have really struggled in conference play and hasn’t played well on the defensive end during their current 4-game losing streak as their letting their opponents average 77.3 ppg. South Dakota has the ability to put points up on the board on any given night however, I just don’t trust that the Coyotes will be able to put up back to back impressive performanced on the road and as I think the Leathernecks should be able to put up plenty of points in this one, I’m taking Western Illinois to cover this small spread. 

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