Appalachian State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock - 3/3/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (27-3) at Appalachian State Mountaineers (7-22)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 3, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Holmes Convocation Center)
The Line: Appalachian State Mountaineers +9.5 -- Over/Under: 141.5 See the Latest Odds
The Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans will travel to the Holmes Convocation Center to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers this Thursday night in College Basketball action.
The Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans won their 6th straight game and improved to 27-3 (17-2 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 89-80, this past Tuesday. Arkansas-Little Rock was able to get out to a 48-38 halftime lead and held a double-digit lead for the majority of the 2nd half tin the win. Arkansas-Little Rock shot 54.7% from the field and only committed 1 turnover in the victory. The Trojans allowed the Red Wolves to shoot 50.8% from the field and was outrebounded by Arkansas State by a 42-24 margin. Leading the way for Arkansas-Little Rock was Roger Woods who had 30 points, 6 rebounds, 1 assist, and a steal. On the season, the Trojans have been led by Josh Hagins (13.0 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 4.8 apg, 1.3 spg), Marcus Johnson Jr. (12.7 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 1.7 apg), and Roger Woods (9.7 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 1.5 apg). Offensively, Arkansas-Little Rock is averaging 71.2 ppg on 45.5% shooting from the field and 38.9% shooting from beyond the arc. The Trojans average 7.7 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.25. Defensively, Arkansas-Little Rock is holding their opponents to an average of 59.5 ppg on 38.5% shooting. The Trojans average 6.4 steals per game and have a turnover margin of 3.4.
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The Appalachian State Mountaineers lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 7-22 (5-13 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Georgia State Panthers, 83-70, this past Saturday. Appalachian State again struggled on the road and couldn’t fight back after being down by a 49-30 margin at halftime. Appalachian State struggled offensively as they shot just 37.5% from the field and 38.5% (10-26) from beyond the arc. The Mountaineers allowed the Panthers to shoot 50.8% from the field and was outrebounded by Georgia State by a 38-30 margin. Leading the way for Appalachian State was Ronshad Shabazz who had 23 points, 2 assists, 1 rebound, and a steal. On the season, the Mountaineers have been led by Frank Eaves (19.2 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 2.1 apg), Ronshad Shabazz (11.8 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 1.5 apg), and Chris Burgess (7.2 ppg, 1.2 rpg, 2.2 apg). Offensively, Appalachian State is averaging 70.3 ppg on 40.0% shooting from the field and 35.8% shooting from beyond the arc. The Mountaineers average 8.3 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.75. Defensively, Appalachian State is allowing their opponents to average 78.0 ppg on 46.5% shooting. The Mountaineers have a rebound margin of -0.8 and a turnover margin of -4.0.
The Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Mountaineers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Arkansas-Little Rock has rolled through the Sun Belt Conference this season, led by their outstanding defense that ranks 2nd in the country in scoring defense and 8th in defensive FG%. Appalachian State has lost 8 of their last 9 games and have struggled on both sides of the ball this season as they rank 328th in FG% and 318th in defensive FG%. Arkansas-Little Rock should be able to have a field day creating turnovers in this one however, and as the Trojans will still have a chance at an at-large bid if they don’t win the conference tournament, I think Arkansas-Little Rock will get another dominating win to add to their resume and that they cover this large spread.