Morehead State vs. Murray State - 3/3/16 College Basketball Pick, Odd, and Prediction
Murray State Racers (17-13) at Morehead State Eagles (18-11)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 3, 2016 at 9:00 pm (Nashville Municipal Auditorium)
The Line: Morehead State Eagles -1 -- Over/Under See the Latest Odds
The Murray State Racers will travel to the Nashville Municipal Auditorium to take on the Morehead State Eagles in the quarterfinals of the Ohio Valley Conference tournament this Thursday night.
The Murray State Racers was able to advance to the 2nd round of the Ohio Valley Conference tournament after easily defeating the Eastern Illinois Panthers, 78-62, this past Wednesday. Murray State was able to jump all over Eastern Illinois early in this one and had little trouble advancing after getting a 45-29 halftime lead. Murray State was outstanding offensively shooting 61.2% from the field and 55.6 from beyond the arc and was led by Bryce Jones who had 14 points, 8 rebounds, 9 assists, 2 steals, and a block. Murray State earned the 6-seed for the conference tournament after finishing the regular season with a 10-6 conference record and 16-13 overall record. On the season, the Racers have been led by Jeffery Moss (14.2 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 2.0 apg), Wayne Langston (13.4 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 1.4 apg), and Bryce Jones (12.3 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 4.0 apg, 1.2 spg). Offensively, Murray State is averaging 71.2 ppg on 45.1% shooting from the field and 36.5% shooting from beyond the arc. The Racers average 7.4 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.21. Defensively, Murray State is holding their opponents to an average of 67.4 ppg on 45.6% shooting. The Racers have a rebound margin of 1.7 and a turnover margin of 1.6.
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The Morehead State Eagles come into the conference tournament as one of the hottest teams winning their last six regular season games, which includes wins over (1) Belmont and (3) Tennessee State. The Eagles had a solid overall year finishing the regular season with an 18-11 overall record and 11-5 conference record. Morehead State has been outstanding as of late on the defensive end as during their current win streak, they are holding opponents to an average of 64.0 ppg. On the season, Morehead State has been led by Corban Collins (11.8 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.1 spg), Xavier Moon (9.7 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 1.7 apg), and Brent Arrington (9.7 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 3.3 apg, 1.6 spg). Offensively, Morehead State is averaging 72.3 ppg on 44.1% shooting from the field and 37.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Eagles average 5.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.11. Defensively, Morehead State is holding their opponents to an average of 66.7 ppg on 43.0% shooting. The Eagles have a rebound margin of 5.9 and a turnover margin of 1.9. Morehead State might be without Corban Collins who has missed his last four games due to an undisclosed injury.
The Racers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall however, just 2-6-1 ATS in thier last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Eagles are 7-1-1 ATS in thier last 9 games overall and 4-1 ATS in thier last 5 neutral site games.
Murray State was able to get a 62-57 victory at home in the only matchup in the regular season of these two teams. Both Murray State and Morehead State are defensive first teams as Murray State ranks 71st in the country in scoring defense while Morehead State ranks 59th. Morehead State relies on their defense to generate some of their offensive and as Murray State does have decent guard play, I expect this one to be another low scoring, close game. The line has yet to be released in this one but I imagine Morehead State will be favored by around 4 points and as I think this one will be close, I’m going to take Murray State and the points. Please check back for updates when the line is posted.
Update - Morehead is favored but not by as much as I thought before the lines were listed. Although, I would like a few more points, I still like Murray State in this one and will roll with the Racers to win this one outright.