Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State - 3/5/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-19) at Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-22)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 5, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Holmes Convocation Center)
The Line: Appalachian State Mountaineers -2.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Arkansas State Red Wolves will travel to the Holmes Convocation Center to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves lost their 8th straight game and dropped to 11-19 (7-12 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans, 89-80, this past Tuesday. Arkansas State was down by a 48-38 margin at halftime and was down by basically double-digits throughout the 2nd half. Arkansas State shot 50.8% from the field however loss the turnover battle by a 11-1 margin. The Red Wolves allowed the Trojans to shoot 54.7% from the field and outrebounded Arkansas State by a 42-24 margin. Leading the way for Arkansas State was Anthony Livingston who had a double-double with 18 points and 22 rebounds. On the season, the Red Wolves have been led by Devin Carter (17.5 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 2.0 apg), Anthony Livingston (15.6 ppg, 9.5 rpg), and Donte Thomas (11.2 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 5.7 apg, 1.2 spg). Offensively, Arkansas State is averaging 73.6 ppg on 41.5% shooting from the field and 32.0% shooting from beyond the arc. The Red Wolves average 5.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.98. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing their opponents to average 75.8 ppg on 39.8% shooting. The Red Wolves have a rebound margin of -0.6 and a turnover margin of -1.2.
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The Appalachian State Mountaineers snapped their two game losing streak and upset the Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans, 69-63, this past Thursday. Appalachian State was outstanding on the boards and used a 10-4 run over the last 2:11 of the game to secure the win. Appalachian State shot 39.3% from the field and 33.3% (8-24) form beyond the arc. The Mountaineers held the Trojans to 42.9% shooting from the field and outrebounded Arkansas State by a 40-28 margin. Leading the way for Appalachian State was Ronshad Shabazz who had 22 points, 2 rebounds, 2 assists, and 3 steals. On the season, the Mountaineers have been led by Frank Eaves (18.9 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 2.2 apg), Ronshad Shabazz (12.1 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 1.5 apg), and Chris Burgess (7.2 ppg, 1.2 rpg, 2.1 apg). Offensively, Appalachian State is averaging 70.2 ppg on 39.9% shooting from the field and 35.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Mountaineers average 8.3 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.76. Defensively, Appalachian State is allowing their opponents to average 77.5 ppg on 46.4% shooting. The Mountaineers have a rebound margin -0.4 and a turnover margin of -4.0.
The Red Wolves are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games however, are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The Mountaineers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Arkansas State has really struggled on the road this season as the Red Wolves have posted a 2-13 record while allowing their opponents to average 81.9 ppg. Appalachian State pulled off one of the biggest upsets this season in the Sun Belt with their win over Arkansas State and although their just 5-7 at home this season, have been competitive on their home court as of late. Appalachian State got a rare road victory at Arkansas State earlier this season, beating the Red Wolves by a 86-72 margin, and as the Mountaineers should have plenty of confidence going into this one, I think Appalachian State easily covers this small spread. Take Appalachian State to cover.