Detroit vs. Youngstown State - 3/5/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Youngstown State Penguins (11-20) at Detroit Titans (15-14)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 5, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Joe Louis Arena)
The Line: Detroit Titans -9.5 -- Over/Under: 178.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Youngstown State Penguins and Detroit Titans will square off in the 1st round of the Horizon League Men’s Championship at Joe Louis Arena this Saturday night.
The Youngstown State Penguins was able to end their regular season on a high note with a convincing 94-75 victory over Northern Kentucky and will enter the conference tournament as the 7-seed after finishing the year with a 6-12 conference record and 11-20 overall record. Youngstown State had one of the higher scoring offensives in the conference but once again struggled defensively as they ranked 340th in the country in scoring defense and 47th in defensive FG%. Leading the way for Youngstown State was Cameron Morse who averaged 20.1 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 2.9 apg, and 1.6 spg. Also chipping in for the Penguins was Matt Donlan (13.2 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 1.3 apg), Francisco Santiago (8.8 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 4.4 apg), and Jordan Andrews (8.0 ppg, 2.9 rpg). Offensively, Youngstown State is averaging 76.1 ppg on 43.0% shooting from the field and 36.4% shooting from beyond the arc. The Penguins average 8.0 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.20. Defensively, Youngstown State is allowing an average of 83.5 ppg on 47.0% shooting. The Penguins have a rebound margin of -7.8 and average 6.8 steals per game.
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The Detroit Titans finished the season on a 4-game road trip and although they loss by double-digits to top two seeds in Valparaiso and Oakland, they were able to earn the 6-seed with a 9-9 conference record and 15-14 overall record. Like many teams in the Horizon, Detroit has a high powered offense that ranks 8th in the country in scoring offense, however, have the 339th ranked scoring defense. On the season, Detroit was led by Paris Bass who averaged 18.7 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.5 spg, and 1.5 bpg. Also contributing for the Titans was Anton Wilson (14.3 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.3 spg), Chris Jenkins (12.6 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 1.4 apg), and Jaleel Hogan (10.3 ppg, 4.1 rpg). Offensively, Detroit is averaging 83.8 ppg on 46.5% shooting from the field and 38.2% from beyond the arc. The Titans average 8.2 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.99. Defensively, Detroit is allowing their opponents to average 83.0 ppg on 46.2% shooting. The Titans have a rebound margin of 1.2 and average 7.0 steals per game.
The Penguins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games however, just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
Detroit defeated Youngstown State in both regular season matchups as Detroit won 96-87 at home and 94-92 at Youngstown State. Youngstown State best win of the season came against Green Bay on the road and although the Penguins still had a tough season, have to be happy with the performance of Cameron Morse who really stepped up after the Penguins lost their lone returning starting in Bobby Hain due to a foot injury. Detroit was an impressive 11-4 at home on the season and although they won’t be at Calihan Hall, it will be very similar to a home game playing in Detroit at Joe Louis Arena. Both of these teams are very similar in their styles of play and as I imagine that this one will once again be a very fast paced, high-scoring game, I’m going to go with the over in this one.