Green Bay vs. Milwaukee - 3/6/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Milwaukee Panthers (20-12) at Wisc-Green Bay Phoenix (20-12)
College Basketball: Sunday, March 6, 2016 at 1:00 pm (Joe Louis Arena)
The Line: Green Bay Phoenix +3 -- Over/Under: 163 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Milwaukee Panthers and the Green Bay Phoenix will face off in the 2nd round of the Horizon League Men’s Championship this Sunday afternoon at Joe Louis Arena.
The 5-seed Milwaukee Panthers (20-12) used a strong first half on the offensive end to take a 44-28 halftime lead and used a 10-5 run late in the half to defeat the 8-seed Northern Kentucky Norse, 86-69. Milwaukee, who was ineligible for post-season play last year, looked comfortable in their first postseason action since winning the Horizon Tournament in 2014 as a 5 seed. Milwaukee was outstanding on the offensive end as they shot 54.9% from the field and 47.8% (11-23) from beyond the arc. The Panthers held the Norse to 45.5% shooting from the field and won the turnover battle by a 12-9 margin. Leading the way for Milwaukee was Matt Tiby who had a double-double with 21 points, 11 rebounds, 4 assists, and a steal. On the season, Milwaukee has been led by Matt Tiby (15.6 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 2.0 apg), Akeem Springs (13.4 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 1.7 apg), and Jordan Johnson (12.3 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 8.2 apg). Offensively, Milwaukee is averaging 79.7 ppg on 45.8% shooting from the field and 36.5% shooting from beyond the arc. The Panthers average 9.3 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.58. Defensively, Milwaukee is allowing their opponents to average 72.6 ppg on 45.0% shooting. The Panthers have a rebound margin of 2.4 and average 4.4 steals per game.
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The 4-seed Green Bay Phoenix (20-12) was held to their lowest scoring output of the season but at the same time, had their best defensive performance of the season and was able to defeat the 9-seed Cleveland State Vikings, 65-53, on the Friday. Green Bay had a small lead throughout the game and used a 9-0 run to close out the game to get the double digit victory. Green Bay struggled offensively as they shot just 32.2% from the field and 23.1% (3-13) from beyond the arc. The Phoenix held the Vikings to 36.2% shooting from the field and won the turnover battle by a 27-18 margin. Leading the way for Green Bay was Jordan Fouse who had 18 points, 4 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 steal, and a block. On the season, the Phoenix have been led by Carrington Love (18.3 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 3.5 apg, 2.5 spg), Charles Cooper (13.6 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.0 spg), and Jordan Fouse (12.0 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 3.4 apg, 2.2 spg). Offensively, Green Bay is averaging 85.0 ppg on 45.0% shooting from the field and 34.6% shooting from beyond the arc. The Phoenix average 7.1 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.17. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing their opponents to average 81.1 ppg on 45.8% shooting. The Phoenix have a rebound margin of -1.0 and a turnover margin of 4.7.
The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win, however, just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. THe Phoenix are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 8-3-1 ATS in thier last 12 games following a ATS.
Milwaukee and Green Bay split their regular season series as Milwaukee won a high scoring 95-94 battle at home and Green Bay won their home match-up by a 70-68 margin. Milwaukee has been very solid on the offensive end this season as they ranked 33rd in the country in scoring offense and really pass the ball well as they average 17.3 assists per game that ranks 12th in the country. Green Bay is one of the best scoring teams in the country but at times have really struggled on the defense end as they rank 334th in scoring defense and 286th in defensive FG%. Both games have been tight this season however, as I trust the defensive of the Panthers a bit more than the Phoenix, I’m going to probably side with Milwaukee as long as the line is pretty close to a pick-em. Please check back for an updates.
Update (14:44 AM) - Three points is a little more than I expected either team to be favored by however, as I don't think the Phoenix defense will be able to stop Milwaukee, I'm going to take Panthers to cover this small spread.