UNC Wilmington vs. Northeastern - 3/6/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Northeastern Huskies (18-14) at UNC Wilmington Seahawks (23-7)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 6, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Royal Farms Arena)
The Line: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -3 -- Over/Under: 140 See the Latest Odds
The Northeastern Huskies and UNC-Wilmington Seahawks will face off in the 2nd round of the CAA Men’s Championship this Sunday afternoon at Royal Farms Arena.
The 6-seed Northeastern Huskies (18-14) used a strong 2nd half to defeat the 3-seed Towson Tigers, 71-60 and stay alive in the CAA conference tournament. Northeastern was down by a 32-29 margin at halftime but used 17-6 run midway through the 2nd half to take a 58-46 lead and was able to hang on for the victory. Northeastern was impressive on the offensive against a very good Towson defensive as the Huskies shot 53.5% from the field and 47.1% (8-17) from beyond the arc. The Huskies held the Tigers to 40.3% shooting from the field and 26.9% (7-26) from three-point range. Leading the way for Northeastern was Quincy Ford who had 20 points, 7 rebounds, 2 steals, 1 assist, and a block. On the season, the Huskies have been led by David Walker (18.0 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 4.0 apg, 1.5 spg), Quincy Ford (16.1 ppg, 7.1 rpg, 2.7 apg, 1.5 spg), and Zach Stahl (10.7 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 2.4 apg). Offensively, Northeastern is averaging 72.1 ppg on 43.7% shooting from the field and 36.9% shooting from beyond the arc. The Huskies average 8.8 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.19. Defensively, Northeastern is allowing their opponents to average 71.2 ppg on 45.8% shooting. The Huskies have a rebound margin of -1.3 and average 6.3 steals per game.
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The 2-seed UNC-Wilmington Seahawks survived a tough defensive battle to keep their NCAA tournament dreams alive after defeating the Charleston Cougars, 66-64. UNC-Wilmington found themselves down by 13 points at halftime in this one but went 7 of 12 in the 2nd half form beyond the arc and held the Cougars to just 24 2nd half points to be able to complete the comeback. UNC-Wilmington shot 48.0% from the field and 38.9% (7-18) from beyond the arc. The Seahawks allowed the Cougars to shoot 41.7% from the field and 50.0% (7-14) from three-point range. Leading the way for UNC-Wilmington was Marcus Bryan who had 16 points, 5 rebounds, 2 blocks, 1 assist, and a steal from off the bench. On the season, the Seahawks have been led by Chris Flemmings (15.9 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.4 spg), Denzel Ingram (12.6 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.6 spg), and Craig Ponder (11.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.1 spg). Offensively, UNC-Wilmington is averaging 79.9 ppg on 45.5% shooting from the field and 33.4% shooting from beyond the arc. The Seahawks average 6.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.19. Defensively, UNC-Wilmington is allowing their opponents to average 71.7 ppg on 41.8% shooting. The Seahawks average 7.9 steals per game and have a turnover margin of 4.0.
The Huskies are 4-0 ATS in thier last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. The Seahawks are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 Sunday games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Northeastern and UNC-Wilmington each picked up road victories against each other during the regular season as the Huskies won 65-63 in early January while the Seahawks won by a 90-73 margin in early February. Northeastern picked up a huge road victory early in the season against the Miami Hurricanes and although suffered a 7-game losing streak during conference play (4 games without Quincy Ford), have won 6 of their last 7 games. UNC-Wilmington has been outstanding on the offensive end this season as they rank 30th in the country in scoring offense and although their defense can give up points, the Seahawks do a solid job of forcing turnovers. UNC-Wilmington has had an incredible season however, Northeastern has one of the best one-two punches in the conference in David Walker and Quincy Ford and although I expect UNC-Wilmington to be about 2-4 point favorites, I'm going to take Northeastern to win this one outright. Please check back as I'll update the line when released, but as long as the Huskies arent favorites by a 3+ points, I'm going with Northeastern in this one.
Update (10:52 AM EST) - This line is about where I thought it was going to be and I'm sticking with my call that Northeastern wins this one outright.