Central Michigan vs. Bowling Green - 3/10/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Bowling Green Falcons (15-17) at Central Michigan Chippewas (17-14)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 10, 2016 at 2:30 pm (Quicken Loans Arena)
The Line: Central Michigan Chippewas -5 -- Over/Under: 146.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: Time Warner Cable Sports Channel – Ohio & New York; BCSN, ESPN College Extra
The Bowling Green Falcons and Central Michigan Chippewas will square off in the quarterfinals of the MAC Men’s Tournament this Wednesday afternoon at Quicken Loans Arena.
The Bowling Green Falcons was able to snap their 3-game losing streak to upset the Kent State Golden Flashes, 70-69, in their regular season finale and finish the season with a 15-17 overall record. Bowling Green earned the 12-seed for the MAC Tournament after losing 10 of their last 12 games and finished conference play with a 5-13 record. On the season, Bowling Green was led by Spencer Parker who averaged 14.4 ppg, 5.3 rpg, and 1.7 apg. Also contributing for the Falcons was Zack Denny (11.0 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 1.3 spg), Wesley Alcegaire (10.5 ppg, 3.2 rpg), and Rasheed Worrell (7.3 ppg, 4.3 rpg). Offensively, Bowling Green is averaging 71.0 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field and 36.1% shooting from beyond the arc. The Falcons average 6.0 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.94. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing their opponents to average 72.4 ppg on 42.8% shooting. The Falcons have a rebound margin of 0.7 and a turnover margin of -0.7.
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The Central Michigan Chippewas finished the season with a 17-14 record and earned the 5-seed in the MAC Tournament with a 10-8 conference record. Central Michigan won 3 of their last 4 games of the season and has been solid as of late averaging 76.8 ppg over their last five games. On the season, the Chippewas have been led by Chris Fowler who is averaging 16.8 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 5.9 apg, and 1.3 spg. Also chipping in for Central Michigan has been Braylon Rayson (16.2 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 1.7 apg), Rayshawn Simmons (12.4 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 5.1 apg), and John Simons (9.8 ppg, 6.9 rpg). Offensively, Central Michigan is averaging 76.2 ppg on 44.3% shooting from the field and 35.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Chippewas average 9.8 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.47. Defensively, Central Michigan is allowing their opponents to average 73.0 ppg on 44.2% shooting. The Chippewas have a rebound margin of -2.5 and have a turnover margin of 1.6.
The Falcons are 2-10 in their last 12 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. The Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game however, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
Central Michigan was able to defeat Bowling Green in both matchups this season as the Chippewas won 79-67 on the road and 77-65 at home. Bowling Green has struggled on both sides of the ball this season ranking 229th in the country in scoring offense and 196th in scoring defense. Central Michigan is a bit undersized and although they can give up some points, they are very solid on the offensive end and do a good job in protecting the basketball. Bowling Green got a nice victory against Kent State but they haven’t shown much for the 2nd half of the season and as long as the Chippewas can make their three-pointers, I don’t think they’ll have trouble covering this spread. Take Central Michigan to cover.