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Virginia vs. Hampton - 3/17/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Hampton Pirates (21-10) at Virginia Cavaliers (26-7)

College Basketball: Thursday, March 17, 2016 at 3:10 pm (PNC Arena)

The Line: Virginia Cavaliers -24 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Tru TV

The Hampton Pirates and Virginia Cavaliers will face off in the 1st round of the Midwest Region this Thursday afternoon at PNC Arena.

The Hampton Pirates finished the season with a 21-10 record and earned a 16-seed in the NCAA Tournament after defeating the South Carolina State Bulldogs, 81-69, in the MEAC Championship. Hampton was sold on the boards this season however comes into this matchup as one of the worst three-point and FT shooting teams in the country as they rank 311th in the country in both categories. On the season, Hampton has been led by Reginald Johnson Jr. (18.3 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 4.1 apg, 1.7 spg), Quinton Chievous (17.0 ppg, 11.0 rpg, 2.1 apg), and Brian Darden (13.2 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 1.9 apg). Offensively, Hampton is averaging 74.8 ppg on 41.5% shooting from the field and 30.8% shooting from beyond the arc. The Pirates average 6.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.87. Defensively, Hampton is allowing their opponents to average of 73.8 ppg on 42.4% shooting. The Pirates have a rebound margin of 5.1 and a turnover margin of -1.5.

Virginia vs. Hampton - 3/17/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Virginia Cavaliers wasn’t able to defeat the North Carolina Tar Heels, but was still able to earn a 1-seed from the NCAA Tournament committee after finishing their regular season with a 26-7 record. Virginia sported one of the best defenses in the country and although their offense can struggle at times as they did against UNC in the ACC Final, they have one of the better players in the country in Malcolm Brogdon that can get it down on both ends of the floor. On the season, Virginia has been led by Malcolm Brogdon (18.7 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 2.8 apg), Anthony Gill (13.3 ppg, 6.1 rpg), and London Perrantes (11.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 4.4 apg, 1.1 spg). Offensively, Virginia is averaging 70.4 ppg on 48.7% shooting from the field and 40.5% shooting from beyond the arc. The Cavaliers average 6.0 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.53. Defensively, Virginia is holding their opponents to an average of 59.7 ppg on 42.1% shooting. The Cavaliers have a rebound margin of 3.5 and a turnover ratio of 2.7.

Hampton isn’t overly impressive on either side of the ball and although the Cavaliers can struggle at times on the offensive end, they shouldn’t have any problem scoring on the Pirates defense.  Virginia was able to defeat better teams (Long Beach State and Lehigh) by at least 25 points in their non-conference schedule, and as I expect Virginia to limit Hampton to just 45-55 points, I'm taking Virginia to cover this big spread.

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