VCU vs. Oregon State - 3/13/16 NCAA Tournament Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Oregon State Beavers (19-12) vs. VCU Rams (24-10)
College Basketball: Friday, March 18, 2016 at 1:30 pm (Chesapeake Energy Arena)
The Line: Oregon State +4 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The VCU Rams and Oregon State Beavers play Friday in the first round of the NCAA Tournament at the Chesapeake Energy Arena.
The VCU Rams haven’t lost in the first round of the tournament since Anthony Grant was coach. The VCU Rams are averaging 77.2 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 67.3 points on 44 percent shooting. Melvin Johnson is averaging 17.8 points and 2.3 assists while Korey Billbury is averaging 11.4 points and 5.1 rebounds. JeQuan Lewis is dishing 4.8 assists and Mo Alie-Cox is grabbing 5.2 rebounds. The VCU Rams are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 69 percent from the free throw line. The Rams are allowing 33.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game. The VCU Rams are 2-4 on neutral courts this season.
USA TODAY Sports
The Oregon State Beavers have not won a tournament game since Ralph Miller was coach. The Oregon State Beavers are averaging 72 points on 43.9 percent shooting and allowing 70.6 points on 43 percent shooting. Gary Payton II is averaging 15.9 points and 5.1 assists while Tres Tinkle is averaging 13.1 points and 5.4 rebounds. Stephen Thompson Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Drew Eubanks is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Oregon State Beavers are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 67.1 percent from the free throw line. The Beavers are allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35 rebounds per game. The Oregon State Beavers are 3-1 this season on neutral courts.
The Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Pacific-12 and 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games overall. The Beavers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
I'm surprised with this line, as Oregon State has the best player in this matchup in Payton. With the experienced guard play, VCU's defense shouldn't be as effective as it is against most teams. The Beavers are also battle tested playing in the tough Pac-12, and they'll be eager to snap a long tournament drought. I think OSU wins this game outright, but I'll take my free points just to be safe.