Oregon Ducks vs. Army Black Knights - 11/11/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Army Black Knights (19-14) at Oregon Ducks (31-7)
College Basketball: Friday, November 11, 2016 at 11:00 pm (Matthew Knight Arena)
The Line: Oregon Ducks -30.5 -- Over/Under: 143.5 See the Latest Odds
The Army Black Knights look to shock the college basketball world on opening night when they take on the 5th ranked Oregon Ducks at Matthew Knight Arena on Friday night.
The Army Black Knights come into the 2016-17 season fresh off of a 2015-16 campaign where Army finished 4th in the Patriot League before falling to NJIT in the opening round of the CIT by a score of 79-65. The Black Knights were projected to finish dead last in the Patriot League preseason poll, after Army lost all 5 starters from last year’s squad including Tanner Plomb, Kyle Wilson and Kevin Ferguson who accounted for 48.7 points, 17.8 rebounds and 4.4 assists combined last season, essentially making this a rebuild project for first year head coach Jimmy Allen. Allen takes over for the departing Zack Spiker who took over head coaching duties for the Drexel Dragons after leading the Black Knights to the best overall record in the Patriot League last season. There is some optimism for the Army hopeful as sophomore guard Jordan Fox returns to take over starting guard duties while forward Mac Hoffman started 5 games for Army last year, so there is some (albeit not much) starting experience for Army who will definitely be undersized against Oregon’s big men in the Middle.
The Oregon Ducks look to build on their best season in recent memory as they finished with an overall record of 31-7 en route to making it to the Elite Eight for the first time since 2006-07 before falling to the Oklahoma Sooners by a final score of 80-68. 4 of Oregon’s 5 starters from last season’s squad return with the one omission being forward Elgin Cook who graduated last year. Also graduating was forward Dwayne Benjamin, who proved to be a key cog coming off the bench averaging 7.8 points and 3 rebounds per game for the Ducks. Oregon has certainly received its fair share of hype after being declared the favorite to win the pac-12 for the first time in the 28-year history of the preseason poll. Hype that head coach Dana Altman has said he doesn’t want as the team still has lots to prove coming into this season as they have their sights set on the program’s first national championship since 1939.
Army is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall while the over is 7-2 in their last 9 road games. Oregon is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 Friday games.
Even with Oregon missing big man Dillon Brooks, I’m not sure Army stands much of a chance with how much turnover this team has gone through. On the other end, Oregon returns much of the same lineup that made the NCAA tournament as a #1 seed and has one of the deepest rosters in the nation.
Give me Oregon in a rout from the opening tip.