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San Diego State vs. San Diego - 11/11/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Diego Toreros (9-21) at San Diego State Aztecs (28-10)

College Basketball: Friday, November 11, 2016 at 11:00 pm (Viejas Arena)

The Line: San Diego State Aztecs -22 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The San Diego Toreros and San Diego State Aztecs open the 2016-17 college basketball season Friday night at the Viejas Arena on ESPNU.

The San Diego Toreros won just nine games last season and now return a new basketball team in 2016-17. The Toreros lost their top-three scorers from a year ago and four of their last six overall. Olin Carter III is San Diego’s top returning scorer after averaging 7.3 points on 33.5 percent shooting as a freshman. Brett Bailey is San Diego’s only senior this season and averaged 6.9 points and 4.8 rebounds in 24.1 minutes last season. The San Diego Toreros are a young basketball team with six freshmen and will certainly have their fare share of growing pains this season. The San Diego Toreros have lost six straight true road games.

San Diego State vs. San Diego - 11/11/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The San Diego State Aztecs hope to get back to the NCAA Tournament after missing the big dance for the first time in seven years. The Aztecs return their 1-2 punch in double-digit scorers Trey Kell and Jeremy Hemsley, who combined for 24.6 points and 6.1 rebounds last season. Malik Pope has double-double potential, while Max Hoetzel transfers from Indiana and Valentine Izundu comes over from Washington State. The San Diego State Aztecs are always going to be a tough team to beat under coach Steve Fisher, but now they have the talent and experience to make another deep run in the MWC and get back in the big dance. The San Diego State Aztecs lost four home games last season.

The Toreros are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. The Aztecs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Friday games. The Toreros are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in San Diego State and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings overall.

I'm not sure I want to lay this type of number in the first game of the season, where sloppy play is usually expected, especially with this being somewhat of a rivarly. However, San Diego is extremely young and that's not good when going up against this Aztecs pressure defense. I could see SDSU running away with this game in the second half, but I'd tread lighly given the massive chalk in a season opener. 

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