Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Cal Poly Mustangs - 11/13/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cal Poly Mustangs (0-1) at Arizona State Sun Devils (1-0)
College Basketball: Sunday, November 13, 2016 at 9:00 pm (Wells Fargo Arena)
The Line: Arizona State Sun Devils -13.5 -- Over/Under: 144 See the Latest Odds
The Cal Poly Mustangs take to the road in search of their first win of the season when they take on the Arizona State Sun Devils on Sunday night.
The Cal Poly Mustangs got their 2016-17 campaign started on a low note, following a 77-68 loss at Pepperdine on Friday. Cal Poly hung around for the early stage of the 1st half, however they allowed the Waves to shoot over 50% from the field the rest of the way, en route to the Mustangs’ first loss of the season. Josh Martin kicked off his junior season with a bang, after only averaging 6.1 points and 3.9 rebounds all of last season, Martin racked up 17 points, tied for the team-high and a whopping 21 rebounds, including 6 boards on the offensive glass. Martin’s frontcourt partner Luke Meikle also put up 17 points while making 7 of his 15 shot attempts on the night. After their first game, Cal Poly is shooting 38% from the field including 35% from 3-point range and just 65% from the line, numbers that will have to improve if the Mustangs want to have any shot at pulling off an upset against Arizona State.
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The Arizona State Sun Devils kicked off their season by defeating the Portland State Vikings by a score of 88-70. Portland State kept the Sun Devils close early, however it was only a matter of time before ASU took control and went on cruise control the rest of the way. Tra Holden, as expected, led the Sun Devils with a tie for the team-high with 23 points on 7 of 14 shooting, including 9 of 11 makes from the charity stripe. The pleasant surprise for the ASU offense came in the form of freshman guard Torian Graham who also put up 23 points in making 9 of 11 field goals including an impressive 5 of 6 makes from behind the 3-point line. Big man Obinna Oleka kicked off his sophomore year by pulling down a team high 13 rebounds and contributing 8 points to the cause. ASU as a team following their first game is shooting just under 50% from the field including 32% from 3-point range and 72% from the foul line.
Cal Poly is 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 vs. the Pac-12. Arizona State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. the Big West and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games while the over is 15-7 in their last 22 games overall.
Cal Poly couldn’t stop Pepperdine from shooting 50% against them, and now they get to face an ASU team that rolled Portland State, which isn’t far off from the same level as the Mustangs. Not to mention Cal Poly’s struggles against the Pac-12 compared to ASU’s dominance against the Big West and I think it all adds up to an Arizona State win and cover.