Louisville Cardinals vs. Long Beach State 49ers - 11/17/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Long Beach State 49ers (1-2) at Louisville Cardinals (2-0)
College Basketball: Thursday, November 17, 2016 at 4:00 pm (KFC Yum! Center)
The Line: Louisville Cardinals -20 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Long Beach State 49ers look for their first statement win of the season but it won’t be easy as they take on the 12th-ranked Louisville Cardinals at the KFC Yum! Center.
The Long Beach State 49ers lost their 2nd in a row to fall to 1-2 following a 93-67 defeat at the hands of the North Carolina Tar Heels. Long Beach just couldn’t get anything going as they didn’t reach double-digits scoring as a team for the first 12+ minutes of the game. Gabe Levin recorded his first double-double of the season as he put up 17 points on 8 for 17 from the floor, including a 3-point make to go along with 10 rebounds. Jordan Griffin was the other 49er who hit the 10-point mark on the night, connecting on 4 of 6 shots from the floor, including 3 for 5 from downtown. Outside of Levin and Griffin, the 49ers hit just 12 of their remaining 50 shot attempts on the night, and night like that won’t help you beat many teams let alone upset one of the country’s best. As a team, Long Beach State is shooting 39% from the floor, 21.2% from 3-point range and 66.2% from the foul line.
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The Louisville Cardinals won their 2nd straight to open the year by defeating the William & Mary Tribe by a final score of 91-58. V.J. King was one of 5 Cardinals to finish with at least 10 points, as King led the way with 17 points on 7 of 11 from the floor including hitting all 3 of his shots from behind the arc. Deng Adel followed behind with 16 points on 4 of 9 shooting, just 1 of 5 from downtown but made up for it by hitting all 7 of his free throws. Quentin Snider and Jaylen Johnson each racked up 13 points, however it was Johnson that found himself flirting with a double-double as he finished with 9 rebounds on the night. Rounding out the group of 5 was Raymond Spalding who hit 5 of 6 from the floor to finish with 10 points. As a team, Louisville is averaging 84.5 points per game, 46.7% from the floor, and 30.2% from downtown. Where the Cardinals really need to focus is at the charity stripe, where Louisville is making just 57.7% of their free throws, leaving them 322nd out of 347 D-I teams.
Long Beach State is 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the ACC while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 overall. Louisville is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall.
Long Beach will probably be the best team that Louisville has faced so far, but on the other hand, the 49ers have been blown out in their 2 games against higher quality opponents by a combined 63 points. Just going off of that, I have no choice but to side with the Cardinals.
Give me Louisville in a rout.