UCLA Bruins vs. San Diego Toreros - 11/17/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Diego Toreros (0-2) at UCLA Bruins (2-0)
College Basketball: Thursday, November 17, 2016 at 11:00 pm (Pauley Pavilion)
The Line: UCLA Bruins -24.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Pauley Pavilion will be alive once again on Thursday evening as the San Diego Toreros and the UCLA Bruins lock horns in early-season college basketball action.
San Diego comes into this game flailing in the early going with an 0-2 record. The Toreros dropped their opener to San Diego State 69-59, then lost another one against Samford 83-65 on Monday. San Diego was outscored in that one 37-25 in the first half and kept it going after the break 46-40 to fuel the loss.
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As far as scoring this year for the Toreros, we’ve got just two players averaging in double figures. Olin Carter III leads the way for San Diego with 16.0 PPG, 2.0 RPG and 1.5 APG, and Nassir Barrino sits at 12.5 PPG, 4.0 RPG and 1.5 APG. Brett Bailey is the team’s rebound leader so far with 5.5 RPG and 7.0 PPG.
As for UCLA, they’re entering play Thursday with a thus-far unblemished 2-0 record. The Bruins won their opener on Friday easily 119-80 against Pacific, and followed that up with a big 102-87 win over Cal State Northridge on Sunday. UCLA was surprisingly outscored 42-40 in the first half of that Matadors game, but the Bruins stormed back with a 62-45 second half which propelled them to the win.
Leading the way in scoring for UCLA so far is Bryce Alford, with 25.0 PPG. Isaac Hamilton and TJ Leaf fall in right behind for the Bruins; Hamilton holds 19.5 PPG and 4.5 APG and Leaf is averaging a double-double 17.0 PPG and 10.5 RPG. Lonzo Ball (16.0 PPG; 8.0 RPG; 8.5 APG) and Aaron Holiday (15.5 PPG; 5.0 APG; 3.5 RPG) are averaging in double figures scoring as well.
San Diego is 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit loss at home, and 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. San Diego is also 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus the Pac-12.
Meanwhile, UCLA is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 versus West Coast, and 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games. UCLA is also 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall, and 0-4 ATS in their last four Thursday games.
UCLA is giving up a lot of points through two games—167 in total—and that’s a bit of a concern moving forward. That said, the Bruins far outmatch San Diego in just about every comparable area, so they shouldn’t have too much trouble taking this game convincingly. I’d like to see a little housecleaning on defense from UCLA here, but with all the offense that’s likely to occur it’s a moot point. It's a pretty thick line, but give me the Bruins.