Arkansas-Little Rock vs. St. Bonaventure - 11/21/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
St. Bonaventure Bonnies (1-1) at Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (2-1)
College Basketball: Monday, November 21, 2016 at 6:00 pm (H-E-B Center at Cedar Park)
The Line: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans +4.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans and St. Bonaventure Bonnies will travel to the Heb Center at Cedar Park to face off in the Lone Star Showcase this Monday night.
The Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans dropped to 2-1 on the season after they were defeated by the Idaho Vandals, 65-57, this past Friday. Arkansas-Little Rock struggled offensively in the 1st half and couldn’t fight back after being down by a 29-21 margin at halftime. The Trojans struggled offensively as they shot just 31.1% from the field and 20.0% (5-25) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Little Rock was Marcus Johnson Jr. who had 23 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists. On the season, Arkansas-Little Rock is averaging 84.7 ppg on 48.6% shooting from the field. The Trojans are averaging 8.7 three-pointers per game on 35.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Arkansas-Little Rock has been led by Marcus Johnson Jr. (16.7 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 3.0 apg), Kemy Osse (14.0 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 1.3 apg), Maurius Hill (11.0 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 2.7 apg). Defensively, Arkansas-Little Rock is holding their opponents to an average of 63.7 ppg on 39.9% shooting from the field. Arkansas-Little Rock has done a nice job protecting the line as they are averaging 5.3 bpg.
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The St. Bonaventure Bonnies dropped to 1-1 on the season after being defeated by the Florida Gators, 73-66, this past Thursday. St. Bonaventure was able to hold the Gators scoreless for a six-minute span in the 2nd half to fight back from a 60-45 deficit but couldn’t do enough to secure the comeback victory. St. Bonaventure shot 38.1% from the field and was outrebounded by a 41-36 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Bonnies was Matt Mobley who had 28 points, 6 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 steals. On the season, St. Bonaventure is averaging 79.0 ppg on 44.8% shooting from the field. The Bonnies are averaging 8.0 three-pointers per game on 32.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, St. Bonaventure has been led by Matt Mobley (24.5 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 2.5 apg), Jaylen Adams (21.5 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 6.0 apg, 3.0 spg), Denzel Gregg (15.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.0 bpg), and Idris Taqqee (4.5 ppg, 10.5 rpg). Defensively, St. Bonaventure is allowing their opponents to average 77.5 ppg on 44.0% shooting from the field. St. Bonaventure has done a nice job of forcing turnovers as they are averaging 9.5 steals per game.
The Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. The Bonnies are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. Sun Belt opponents.
Arkansas-Little Rock had one of their best seasons in 2015-16 after putting up a 30-5 record behind one of the top defenses in the country, however, come into this season with a new head coach in Wes Flanigan, who took over after Greg Bear left for Texas Tech. St. Bonaventure might lack depth, however, the Bonnies will be a tough team to face this season as they have one of the best backcourt duos in Matt Mobley and Jaylen Adams. Arkansas-Little Rock opened their season with two easy wins against non-DI opponents and as their defensive didn’t look as strong against an average team in Idaho, I think that guards from St. Bonaventure will be able to do enough damage to help the Bonnies cover this spread. Take St. Bonaventure to cover.