Saint Mary's-California Gaels vs. San Jose State Spartans - 11/22/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Jose State Spartans (1-2) at Saint Mary's-California Gaels (3-0)
College Basketball: Tuesday, November 22, 2016 at 10:00 pm (McKeon Pavilion)
The Line: Saint Mary's-California Gaels -27 -- Over/Under: 137.5 See the Latest Odds
The San Jose State Aztecs look to pull off a major upset when they take on the 15th-ranked Saint Mary’s Gaels on Tuesday night.
The San Jose State Aztecs fell to 1-2 following a 74-69 defeat against the Denver Pioneers. Brandon Clarke led the Aztecs with 13 points with 6 makes on 10 attempts from the floor to go along with a game-high 10 rebounds as Clarke pulled down almost half of the team’s boards as San Jose State had 24 total in the game. Jalen James also put up 13 points, his came on 5 for 12 from the field including 3 of 7 from behind the 3-point line. Ryan Welage was the last Aztec to put up double figures in the game, as he connected on 4 of 8 field goal attempts, including 3 of 5 from downtown for 11 points. After Welage, no other San Jose State player had more than 8 points in the loss. As a team, San Jose State is scoring 81.3 points per game on 44.1% shooting from the floor, 38.4% from 3-point range and 68.8% from the foul line.
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The St. Mary’s Gaels come into this game as the 15th-best team in the nation and showed why they deserve that ranking with a 61-57 road victory over Dayton. It was a grind it out game that saw the Gaels let a 39-26 halftime lead dwindle to the 4-point margin of victory. Calvin Hermanson put up a team-high 16 points on 6 of 16 from the floor, including 4 of 9 from behind the arc before fouling out of the game. Jock Landale was the only other Gael to hit double figures in the scoring column, as he made 6 of his 8 attempts from the floor, racking up a total of 15 points to go along with his 14 rebounds on the night. Outside of Hermanson and Landale, St. Mary’s made just 8 of their remaining 29 field goal attempts, including 4 of 17 from 3-point range. As a team, St. Mary’s is putting up 84 points per game, on a top-20 ranked 52.3% from the field, 38% from behind the arc while sitting in the top-30 with a 78.8% mark from the free throw line.
San Jose State is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 road games while the over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 vs. the WCC. St. Mary’s is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games while the under is 46-21-1 in their last 68 overall. San Jose State is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meeting between these two teams.
St. Mary’s will win this game. There’s no doubt about that. However 27 points is a lot of points to lay, ranked team or not. Especially when the team getting the points has done well recently against the spread on the road. There are better games on the board, but if forced to pick, I’ll go with San Jose State and the points.