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Oregon vs. Michigan - 3/23/17 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Michigan Wolverines (26-11) at Oregon Ducks (31-5)

College Basketball: Thursday, March 23, 2017 at 3:33 pm (Sprint Center)

The Line: Oregon Ducks +1 -- Over/Under: 146.5 See the Latest Odds

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The Oregon Ducks take the hardwood with the Michigan Wolverines in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA college basketball tourney.

The Michigan Wolverines got hot just at the right time and sailed right through the Big Ten playoffs and carried that in to the Big Dance where they advanced to the Sweet 16 via a 73-69 victory over Louisville. The three point underdog  Wolverines stormed back from an eight point deficit at the half behind a 45-33 run over the final 20 minutes. When the smoke had cleared Michigan held a 49%-46% shooting edge with a handful of makes at the charity stripe being the biggest difference. Moritz Wagner led all scorers with 26 points on 11-14 with DJ Wilson tossing in 17 points while the Wolverines saw Zak Irvin and Derrick Walton Jr. combine for 21 points and eleven boards. Michigan doesn’t go deep so they have to avoid foul trouble and hope a few players get and stay hot going forward.

Oregon vs. Michigan - 3/23/17 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Oregon Ducks have proven to be worthy of their number three seed as they survived a tough challenge from the Rhode Island Rams in a 75-72 victory. The Ducks defense struggled early with the Rams leading 46-38 at the break before allowing 26 second half points to save their tournament lives. Both teams shot the ball well with URI holding a small 50%-48% advantage that added up to five more field goals but Oregon went to the line 27 times and had 12 more makes which was the decisive stat. Tyler Dorsey saved the Ducks as he poured in a contest high 27 points with five yanks on 9-10 from the floor with Dillon Brooks adding 19 points and seven boards on 7-20 from the field while six others combined to contribute 24 points.

Oregon is 5-1 against the sperad as an underdog in the NCAA Tournament, 5-2-1 against the spread against the Big Ten, and 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games. Michigan is 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 games, 5-1 against the spread following a win, and 5-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record. 

I don’t think that trends matter all that much when teams reach the Sweet 16 because they have to be playing well or they are extremely lucky. I can’t say Oregon or Michigan are lucky because both are performing well but I do believe momentum can carry a team and the Wolverines are brimming with the stuff. Right now the magic is on the side of Michigan and we’ll see if their hot run continues…

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Michigan Wolverines -1

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