Fairfield vs. Pennsylvania - 11/11/17 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Pennsylvania Quakers (13-15) at Fairfield Stags (16-15)
College Basketball: Saturday, November 11, 2017 at 1:00 pm (Webster Bank Arena at Harbor Yard)
The Line: Fairfield Stags +4.5 -- Over/Under: 142.5 See the Latest Odds
The Pennsylvania Quakers will travel to Webster Bank Arena to take on the Fairfield Stags this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The Pennsylvania Quakers might have finished with just a 13-15 record, however Pennsylvania must come into this season with a lot of optimism after winning 6 of their last 9 games while almost upsetting top-seeded Princeton in the semifinals in the Ivy League championship. Pennsylvania earned the 4-seed in the Ivy League Championship after finishing conference play with just a 6-8 record, however, it’s talented freshman class gave Princeton all they could handle in their 72-64 OT loss in the Semifinals. Pennsylvania returns four starters in A.J. Brodeur (13.8 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 1.9 apg, 2.4 bpg), Ryan Betley (11.9 ppg, 4.6 rpg), Darnell Foreman (8.3 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 3.4 apg), and Jackson Donahue (6.9 ppg, 1.6 rpg, 1.5 apg). The Quakers will look for leadership in senior Antonio Woods (10.7 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 3.3 apg) who missed last season due to injury and will continue to look for key minutes off the bench from Caleb Wood (5.9 ppg, 1.7 rpg) and Devon Goodman (4.3 ppg, 1.6 rpg, 1.8 apg). Pennsylvania was solid on the defensive end last season after finishing the season ranked 68th in scoring defense (68.0 ppg) and defensive FG% (41.6%) and will hope to continue to be an offensive threat from the outside after ranking 89th in three-pointers per game at 8.4 three pointers per game.
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The Fairfield Stags finished have been a respectable program in the MAAC over the past two seasons and although they finished with just a 16-15 record in 2016-17, the Stags look poised to be able to be one of the top teams in the conference this season. Fairfield ended up with the 5-seed in the MAAC Tournament last season after finishing conference play with a 11-9 record however, couldn’t advance by the Quarterfinals after being defeated by the Siena Saints, 78-66. Fairfield is expecting big things this season largely due to the return Tyler Nelson (19.5 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.1 spg) who is on pace to break the Fairfield all-time scoring record and is a pre-season candidate for MAAC Player of the Year. Fairfield will no longer have Curtis Cobb (12.1 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 2.2 apg) and Jerry Johnson Jr. (11.4 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.4 apg) who transferred, however, do return starters Matija Milin (8.3 ppg, 4.1 rpg), Jerome Segura (5.9 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 4.1 apg, 1.1 spg), and Jonathan Kasibabu (6.3 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.2 apg, 1.4 bpg). Fairfield will hope that newcomer, Taj Benning, will be able to come in and contribute right away for the Stags. Fairfield ranked 190th in scoring offense (72.6 ppg), 78th in assists per game (15.0), and 80th in three-pointers per game (8.5) last season but will hope to improve on the defensive end as they finished the season ranked 213th in scoring defense (73.5 ppg) and 265th in rebound margin (-2.1).
The Quakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. The Stags are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games and finished just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Harvard is all the talk in the Ivy League coming into this season thanks to their outstanding freshman class, however, it’s important not to overlook Pennsylvania this season as their Freshman class was also quite impressive and really showed their potential towards the end of last season. Fairfield has the best player in the MAAC in Tyler Nelson and with a few key players returning, this could the year were the Fairfield could punch their ticket to the NCAA Tournament by winning the MAAC. I think this Pennsylvania team is going to be solid, but Fairfield has the experience and an open their season with a strong performance on their home court. Take Fairfield and the points.