Louisville vs. George Mason - 11/12/17 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
George Mason Patriots (1-0) at Louisville Cardinals (0-0)
College Basketball: Sunday, November 12, 2017 at 2:00 pm (KFC Yum! Center)
The Line: Louisville Cardinals -17.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The A-10 and the ACC square off on the hardwood as the George Mason Patriots face off against the #16 Louisville Cardinals.
The George Mason Patriots will look for the upset to improve to 2-0 after winning their season opener over Lafayette by a final score of 67-65. Jaire Grayer fell one board short of opening the season with a double-double, leading the team with 17 points on 6 of 11 shooting, with a pair of triples, 9 rebounds and 3 blocks. Justin Kier came right behind with 15 points on 5 of 8 shooting with 4 steals, while Otis Livingston II added 14 points and a team-high 6 assists. Goanar Mar added 11 points including 3 triples, while Ian Boyd added 10 points of his own in the win. As a team, George Mason is scoring 67 points on 47.3% from the field and 35% from behind the arc, but shooting just 47.1% from the foul line after their first game.
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The #16 Louisville Cardinals will look to move on from their offseason issues, after finishing 25-9 with a 12-6 ACC record and losing to Duke in the quarterfinals of the ACC tournament. Louisville received an at-large bid to March Madness as a #2 seed, defeating Jacksonville State before falling to Michigan in the 2nd round. On September 26th, Louisville made headlines as federal prosecutors in New York alleged that Louisville was part of a “pay for play” scheme involving Cardinal recruits, resulting in the firing of head coach Rick Pitino. In all of this, interim head coach David Padgett has to deal with the loss of 3 of Louisville’s 5 starts from last season, including leading scorer Donovan Mitchell (15.6 ppg, 4.9 rpg), Jaylen Johnson (8 ppg, 5.8 rpg) and Mangok Mathiang (7.8 ppg, 6 rpg). Luckily for Padgett, Louisvile retained the services of Deng Adel and Quentin Snider who combined for 24.5 points, 7.2 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game last season. V.J. King will most likely get a look in his sophomore season, with the skills to attack the rim and a 42% 3-point shooter, King averaged less than 15 minutes per game after then-coach Pitino questioned King’s defensive abilities. Louisville averaged 77.3 points per game on 45.7% shooting from the field, 35.5% from behind the arc and 68.6% from the foul line. Defensively, the Cards gave up 66 points per game on 40.1% shooting from the floor and 31.6% from behind the arc.
We will update with trends once they become available.
Losing Mitchell hurts the Cardinals because he was their late game guy and the guy who would take the shot late in the shot clock, and deliver doing so. The Cardinals will be a power in the ACC once again, however I’m not sure I’m ready to lay this many points against a George Mason team that already has a game under their belt. I have no doubt that Louisville is the more talented of the two teams here, but I think this is just too many points as I had it around 15-17 points, so I’ll take the points with George Mason here but the best bet is to probably stay away for now.