Colorado vs. Air Force - 11/26/17 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Air Force Falcons (3-1) at Colorado Buffaloes (5-0)
College Basketball: Sunday, November 26, 2017 at 4:00 pm (Coors Events Center)
The Line: Colorado Buffaloes -10.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Pac-12 Networks
The Air Force Falcons will travel to the Coors Event Center to take on the Colorado Buffaloes this Sunday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The Air Force Falcons lost their first game of the season, dropping them to 3-1 on the year, after being defeated by the Pacific Tigers, 83-71, this past Tuesday. Air Force had no answers on the defensive end of the court in the 1st half and couldn’t fight back after trailing by a 47-29 margin at halftime. Air Force allowed Pacific to shoot 51.1% from the field and 52.9% (9-17) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Falcons was Lavelle Scottie who had 15 points, 4 rebounds, 2 blocks, and a steal. On the season, Air Force is averaging 71.5 ppg on 39.1% shooting from the field. The Falcons are averaging 8.0 three-pointers per game on 33.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Air Force has been led by Pervis Louder (13.0 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 4.0 apg, 2.0 spg), Ryan Manning (12.8 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 1.3 apg), Trevor Lyons (12.0 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 3.8 apg, 1.5 spg), and Lavelle Scottie (11.5 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.5 spg). Defensively, Air Force is allowing their opponents to average 66.5 ppg on 44.6% shooting from the field. The Falcons have a rebound margin of 2.5 and a turnover margin of 3.3.
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The Colorado Buffaloes stayed perfect on the season, improving to 5-0 on the year, after defeating the Mercer Bears, 79-70, in the Championship of the Paradise Jam last Sunday. Colorado was up by just a 39-37 margin at halftime, however, pulled away from the Bears after a 12-4 Buffaloes run gave Colorado a 64-51 lead with just 9:24 left in regulation. Colorado shot 48.0% from the field and 76.7% (23-30) from the FT-Line in the victory. Leading the way for the Buffaloes was George King who had 25 points, 8 rebounds, 1 assist, and a block. On the season, Colorado is averaging 78.0 ppg on 49.1% shooting from the field. The Buffaloes are averaging 5.4 three-pointers per game on 29.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Colorado has been led by McKinley Wright IV (15.0 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 4.6 apg, 1.4 spg), George King (14.2 ppg, 7.6 rpg), Namon Wright (13.8 ppg, 3.4 rpg), and Deleon Brown (8.0 ppg, 1.4 rpg). Defensively, Colorado is holding their opponents to an average of 66.6 ppg on 39.3% shooting from the field. The Buffaloes have a rebound margin of 7.2 and a turnover margin of -1.4.
The Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. The Buffaloes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games however, are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. Mountain West opponents.
Air Force has struggled on the offensive end this season as they Falcons rank just T-248th in scoring offense and 322nd in FG% and you can’t feel great about their defense after allowing 83 points to a Pacific team that generally struggles to score the basketball. Colorado isn’t as good at their 5-0 record might look, however, they are a solid defensive team that does have a go-to scorer. Colorado can struggle on the offensive end at times, however, I think the Buffaloes will do enough on their home court to cover this double-digit spread.