Valparaiso vs. Utah State - 11/28/17 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Utah State Aggies (4-3) at Valparaiso Crusaders (7-0)
College Basketball: Tuesday, November 28, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Athletics-Recreation Center)
The Line: Valparaiso Crusaders -7.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
We have some non-conference action on the hardwood as the Utah State Aggies take on the Valparaiso Crusaders in a college basketball matchup.
The Utah State Aggies will look for an upset to avoid falling to .500 this season after a pair of back-to-back wins brought the Aggies above .500 at 4-3 this season following their 77-63 win over New Hampshire last time out. Sam Merrill led the team with 20 points on 7 of 11 shooting with 3 threes while DeAngelo Isby followed right behing with 16 points along with a team-high 7 boards and 5 assists. Diogo Brito added 12 points on 5 of 6 shooting in addition to 3 steals and 3 assists to round out the scoring in double digits for Utah State in the winning effort. Merrill leads the team with 15 points and 3.6 assists per game while Brown Jr. is the team’s top rebounder with 6.9 boards per game this season. As a team, Utah State is scoring 73.7 points per game on 46.2% shooting from the field, 37.3% from behind the arc and 66.9% from the foul line this season.
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The Valparaiso Crusaders will look to remain unbeaten after a 7-0 start to the season following their 79-70 win over UNC-Wilmington in their last outing. Bakari Evelyn led the team with 30 points on 8 of 11 shooting with 3 triples and an 11 for 12 mark from the foul line along with a team-high 8 rebounds. Tevonn Walker came 2nd with 16 points on 3 of 11 shooting with a 10 for 12 mark from the foul line and 6 rebounds to round out the scoring in double figures for the Crusaders in the win. Jaume Sorolla matched his 8 points with 8 rebounds and a pair of blocks, while Max Joseph added a pair of steals for Valpo in the win. Walker leads the team with 16.1 points per game while Evelyn is the team’s top assist man with 3.9 assists per game and Derrik Smits is the team’s leader on the glass with 4.7 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Valparaiso is scoring 84.6 points per game on 49.9% shooting from the field, 35.3% from 3-point range and 73% from the foul line this season. Valparaiso also boasts a stout defense, holding teams to just 59.3 points per game (16th in D-I) on 34.6% shooting from the field (7th-lowest in D-I) and 24.5% from 3-point range (12th in D-I).
Utah State is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games while the over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. Valparaiso is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall while the over is 7-3 in their last 10 games following a win.
I think that Utah State is going to be the toughest team that Valpo has faced this season and the Aggies already hung in tough with a cover against a top-25 team in Gonzaga. However, Valpo is also 4-0 ATS this season and does some of their best work on their home court and I think the line is reasonable enough to lay the points with Valparaiso here.