Nevada vs. New Mexico - 12/30/17 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New Mexico Lobos (6-8) at Nevada Wolf Pack (12-3)
College Basketball: Saturday, December 30, 2017 at 5:00 pm (Lawlor Events Center)
The Line: Nevada Wolf Pack -14.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: AT&T Sportsnet; AT&T Sportsnet - Rocky Mtn; AT&T Sportsnet - Southwest; Mountain West Network
The New Mexico Lobos will travel to the Lawlor Events Center to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The New Mexico Lobos won their 3rd straight game and improved to 6-8 (1-0 MW) on the season after defeating the Air Force Falcons, 87-58, this past Wednesday. New Mexico was solid on both ends of the court throughout the game and had no trouble picking up the victory after leading by a 58-33 margin midway through the 2nd half. New Mexico held Air Force to just 37.9% shooting from the field and 18.8% (3-16) shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Lobos was Joe Furstinger who had a double-double with 12 points, 12 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 blocks, and a steal. On the season, New Mexico is averaging 80.9 ppg on 42.4% shooting from the field. The Lobos are averaging 11.2 three-pointers per game on 35.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, New Mexico has been led by Sam Longwood (13.5 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 1.7 apg), Chris McNeal (11.7 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 3.0 apg), Troy Simons (9.2 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 1.6 apg, 2.1 spg), and Joe Furstinger (7.7 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.5 bpg). Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 75.4 ppg on 46.0% shooting from the field. The Lobos have a rebound margin of -5.1 and a turnover margin of 5.6.
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The Nevada Wolf Pack improved to 12-3 (1-0 MW) on the season after defeating the Fresno State Bulldogs, 80-65, this past Wednesday. Nevada went into halftime with a solid 38-30 lead and pulled away after an 8-0 Wolf Pack run gave Nevada a 55-38 lead with 13:48 left in regulation. Nevada shot 48.2% from the field and 58.8% (10-17) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Wolf Pack was Caleb Martin who had a double-double with 18 points, 10 rebounds, 2 assists, and 3 steals. On the season, Nevada is averaging 82.1 ppg on 48.8% shooting from the field. The Wolf Pack are averaging 9.3 three-pointers per game on 42.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Nevada has been led by Caleb Martin (18.7 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.2 spg), Jordan Caroline (16.7 ppg, 9.0 rpg, 1.9 apg), Cody Martin (13.5 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 4.1 apg, 1.7 spg), and Lindsey Drew (6.6 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 3.9 apg). Defensively, Nevada is allowing their opponents to average 68.9 ppg on 42.3% shooting from the field. The Wolf Pack have a rebound margin of 2.9 and a turnover margin of 2.2.
The Lobos are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Wolf Pack are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 30-9-1 ATS in their last 40 home games.
New Mexico has been solid on the offensive end this season as they rank 72nd in scoring offense and 11th in three-pointers made per game, however, the Lobos have struggled defensively as they rank 248th in scoring defense. Nevada is the best team in the Mountain West this season and has one of the better offenses in the country as the Wolf Pack rank 51st in scoring offense, 42nd in FG%, and 7th in 3P-FG%. New Mexico has lost by an average of 13.2 ppg away from home this season and as I think the Nevada offense will be able to put up plenty up points at home against a weak New Mexico defense, I’m taking the Wolf Pack to cover this spread.