Air Force vs. Nevada - 1/6/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Nevada Wolf Pack (14-3) at Air Force Falcons (6-8)
College Basketball: Saturday, January 6, 2018 at 2:00 pm (Clune Arena)
The Line: Air Force Falcons +12.5 -- Over/Under: 142.5 See the Latest Odds
We have some Mountain West conference action on the hardwood as the Nevada Wolf Pack take on the Air Force Falcons in a college basketball matchup on Saturday afternoon.
The Nevada Wolf Pack will look to add to their 3 game winning streak and remain unbeaten in conference play after climbing to 2-0 in MW play with a 92-83 victory over Wyoming in their last outing. Cody Martin led the team with 22 points on 8 of 15 shooting with a pair of threes and 12 rebounds for the double-double, while Caleb Martin came 2nd with 19 points and 3 blocks. Jordan Caroline came next with 18 points and 16 rebounds for a massive double-double, while Kendall Stephens shot 5 of 8 with 4 threes for 16 points with a pair of steals. Lindsey Drew chipped in 13 points with a team-high 5 assists and 3 steals to round out the double-digit scoring for the Wolf Pack in the win. Caleb Martin leads the team in scoring with an average of 19 points per game, while Cody Martin leads the team with 4.1 assists per game this season and Caroline leads the team in rebounding with 9.5 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Nevada is scoring 82.4 points per game on 48.1% shooting from the field while boasting the 8th-best 3-point percentage in the country at 42.4% to go along with a 72.4% mark from the foul line this season.
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The Air Force Falcons will be looking for their first conference win of the year after falling to 0-2 in conference play after a 71-59 loss to Fresno State in their last outing. Ryan Swan was the lone Falcon to finish in double figures scoring with 13 points on 3 of 6 shooting with a pair of threes and a 5 for 5 mark from the foul line. Lavelle Scottie didn’t miss in the game, hitting his lone field goal attempt and all 6 of his free throws for 9 points with team-highs of 5 rebounds and 4 assists in the losing effort for the Falcons. Scottie leads the team in scoring with an average of 10.4 points per game, while Ryan Manning leads the team in rebounding with 4.5 rebounds per game and Trevor Lyons leads the team in assists with 2.5 assists per game this season. As a team, Air Force is scoring 67.6 points per game on 41.7% shooting from the field, 31.8% from behind the arc and 74.3% from the foul line this season.
Nevada is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 conference matchups and 38-17-2 ATS in their last 57 games overall while the over is 13-5 in their last 18 games following a win. Air Force is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a game where they covered the spread and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games against a team with a winning road record while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Nevada is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings between these two teams and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Air Force.
In all honesty, I was expecting a thicker line, even on the road, as I just think the Wolf Pack are another level above Air Force here. Nevada has been a covering machine dating back to last year, and Air Force is just simply hard to trust. Combine that with the head-to-head success for Nevada ATS in this matchup, and I think you have to lay the points with the Wolf Pack in this one.