Georgia State vs. Arkansas State - 1/6/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-10) at Georgia State Panthers (10-6)
College Basketball: Saturday, January 6, 2018 at 2:15 pm (GSU Sports Arena)
The Line: Georgia State Panthers -10.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Arkansas State Red Wolves will travel to GCU Sports Arena to take on the Georgia State Panthers this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 6-10 (1-2 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Georgia Southern Eagles, 80-49, this past Thursday. Arkansas State had no answers against the Georgia Southern defense and couldn’t fight back after the Red Wolves fell behind by a 59-33 margin with 13:40 left in regulation. Arkansas State shot just 34.5% from the field and 14.8% (4-27) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Red Wolves was Ty Cockfield who had 10 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assist, and a steal. On the season, Arkansas State is averaging 74.2 ppg on 45.9% shooting from the field. The Red Wolves are averaging 7.4 three-pointers per game on 34.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensviely, Arkansas State has been led by Deven Simms (16.1 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.4 spg), Ty Cockfield (14.3 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 2.3 apg), Tamas Bruce (10.1 ppg, 5.4 rpg), and Rashad Lindsey (8.5 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 2.7 apg, 1.1 spg). Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing their opponents to average 76.9 ppg on 48.3% shooting from the field. The Red Wolves have a rebound margin of -0.9 and a turnover margin of -0.4.
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The Georgia State Panthers snapped their 2-game losing streak and improved to 10-6 (1-2 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Little Rock Trojans, 73-64, this past Thursday. Georgia State went into halftime with a 35-31 lead and was able to hold off the Trojans after taking a 67-57 lead with 1:18 left in regulation. Georgia State shot 40.8% from the field and 37.0% (10-27) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Panthers was D’Marcus Simonds who had 19 points, 5 rebounds, 6 assists, 2 blocks, and 2 steals. On the season, Georgia State is averaging 72.3 ppg on 44.8% shooting from the field. The Panthers are averaging 8.8 three-pointers per game on 37.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensviely, Georgia State has been led by D’Marcus Simonds (21.1 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 4.6 apg, 2.1 spg), Devin Mitchell (11.6 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 1.6 apg), Malik Benlevi (10.3 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.9 spg), and Jeff Thomas (9.4 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 1.1 apg). Defensively, Georgia State is holding their opponents to an average of 65.4 ppg on 39.9% shooting from the field. The Panthers have a rebound margin of -4.0 and a turnover margin of 4.9.
The Red Wolves are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 however, are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Panthers are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS loss and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. Sun Belt opponents.
Arkansas State has lost 3 of their last 5 games and has really struggled on the defensive end this season as the Red Wolves rank just T-279th in scoring defense and 329th in defensive FG%. Georgia State hasn’t been playing that well as of late, however, the Panthers still have one of the better defenses in the Sun Belt this season as Georgia State ranks 42nd in scoring defense and 46th in defensive FG%. Georgia State should be able to get some offensive production from some players not named, D’Marcus Simonds, against the weak Red Wolves defense and as I think Arkansas State struggles to score on the road, I’m taking Georgia State to cover here.