Texas-Arlington vs. South Alabama - 1/6/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
South Alabama Jaguars (8-7) at Texas-Arlington Mavericks (10-6)
College Basketball: Saturday, January 6, 2018 at 5:15 pm (College Park Center)
The Line: Texas-Arlington Mavericks -12 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The South Alabama Jaguars will travel to College Park Center to take on the UT-Arlington Mavericks this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The South Alabama Jaguars had their 2-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 8-7 (2-1 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Texas State Bobcats, 72-69, this past Thursday. South Alabama went into halftime trailing by a 41-30 margin and although they made it game late, the Jaguars couldn’t force overtime as the Jaguars Rodrick Sikes came up short in his game-tying three-point attempt in the closing seconds of regulation. South Alabama allowed Texas State to shoot 45.2% from the field and was outrebounded by the Bobcats by a 39-29 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Jaguars was Josh Ajayi who had 25 points, 4 rebounds, 1 block, and a steal. On the season, South Alabama is averaging 67.3 ppg on 41.7% shooting from the field. The Jaguars are averaging 8.5 three-pointers per game on 35.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, South Alabama has been led by Rodrick Sikes (18.3 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 1.1 spg), Josh Ajayi (13.1 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 1.1 apg), Jordan Andrews (9.5 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 1.5 apg), and Trhae Mitchell (4.7 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.1 spg, 1.5 bpg). Defensively, South Alabama is holding their opponents to an average of 65.7 ppg on 39.9% shooting from the field. The Jaguars have a rebound margin of -0.4 and a turnover margin of -2.4.
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The UT-Arlington Mavericks snapped their 2-game losing streak and improved to 10-6 (1-2 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Troy Trojans, 86-46, this past Thursday. UT-Arlington was outstanding on the offensive end and was able to secure their first conference victory of the season after they took a 40-33 lead at halftime. UT-Arlington shot 52.2% from the field and 42.9% (9-21) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Mavericks was Erick Neal who had 21 points, 6 rebounds, 7 assists, and 3 steals. On the season, UT-Arlington is averaging 78.0 ppg on 46.2% shooting from the field. The Mavericks are averaging 8.3 three-pointers per game on 35.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UT-Arlington has been led by Kevin Hervey (21.5 ppg, 8.7 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.7 spg), Erick Neal (14.1 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 8.3 apg, 2.1 spg), Kaelon Wilson (11.7 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 1.8 apg), and Johnny Hamilton (11.5 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 2.0 bpg). Defensively, UT-Arlington is allowing their opponents to average 72.1 ppg on 40.8% shooting from the field. The Mavericks have a rebound margin of 2.8 and a turnover margin of 1.0.
The Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
South Alabama has won 3 of their last 5 games and has been led by their defense that ranks T-48th in scoring defense and 44th in defensive FG%. UT-Arlington has struggled as of late, losing 5 of their last 8 games, however, is still one of the better Sun Belt teams this season and currently rank 101st in scoring offense, 123rd in FG%, and 64th in defensive FG%. UT-Arlington has a great duo in Erick Neal and Kevin Harvey, however, I liked how the Jaguars played on the road recently against Tulane and Texas State, and as I think the Jaguars defense can have success in this one, I’m taking South Alabama and the points.